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Texas winter weather risk

254 counties scored 8 rated Very High

El Paso County has the highest winter weather risk in Texas, scoring 99.9 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

# County NRI score Rating NOAA events
2016–2026
1 El Paso County 99.9 Very High 0
2 Potter County 99.8 Very High 0
3 Randall County 99.3 Very High 0
4 Dallas County 98.7 Very High 0
5 Lubbock County 98.6 Very High 0
6 Ector County 97.3 Very High 0
7 Tarrant County 97.3 Very High 0
8 Williamson County 96.8 Very High 0
9 Midland County 95.9 Relatively High 0
10 Bell County 95.8 Relatively High 0
11 Hidalgo County 95.7 Relatively High 0
12 Tom Green County 95.1 Relatively High 0
13 Taylor County 94.2 Relatively High 0
14 Hays County 93.8 Relatively High 0
15 Hale County 92.1 Relatively High 0
16 Deaf Smith County 91.7 Relatively High 0
17 Comal County 91.3 Relatively High 0
18 Collin County 91.1 Relatively High 0
19 Brazos County 90.4 Relatively High 0
20 Moore County 90.2 Relatively High 0
21 Hutchinson County 90 Relatively High 0
22 Gray County 89.8 Relatively High 0
23 Harris County 88.8 Relatively High 0
24 Bexar County 88.3 Relatively High 0
25 Kerr County 88 Relatively High 0
26 Smith County 87.7 Relatively High 0
27 Denton County 86.2 Relatively High 0
28 Montgomery County 86.1 Relatively High 0
29 Cameron County 85.9 Relatively High 0
30 Guadalupe County 84.6 Relatively Moderate 0
31 Gregg County 83.9 Relatively Moderate 0
32 Val Verde County 83.8 Relatively Moderate 0
33 Burnet County 82.9 Relatively Moderate 0
34 Dallam County 82.8 Relatively Moderate 0
35 Nueces County 82.8 Relatively Moderate 0
36 Wichita County 82.2 Relatively Moderate 0
37 Howard County 81.3 Relatively Moderate 0
38 Travis County 80.4 Relatively Moderate 0
39 Bastrop County 79.8 Relatively Moderate 0
40 Coryell County 79.7 Relatively Moderate 0
41 Brown County 78.2 Relatively Moderate 0
42 Webb County 77.8 Relatively Moderate 0
43 Kendall County 76.3 Relatively Moderate 0
44 Lamb County 76 Relatively Moderate 0
45 Hockley County 75.8 Relatively Moderate 0
46 Nacogdoches County 75.8 Relatively Moderate 0
47 Gillespie County 75 Relatively Moderate 0
48 Castro County 74.6 Relatively Moderate 0
49 Bowie County 74.3 Relatively Moderate 0
50 Ochiltree County 73.6 Relatively Moderate 0
51 Llano County 73.2 Relatively Moderate 0
52 Swisher County 73.2 Relatively Moderate 0
53 Angelina County 73 Relatively Moderate 0
54 Lamar County 72.5 Relatively Moderate 0
55 Medina County 72.5 Relatively Moderate 0
56 Parmer County 72.3 Relatively Moderate 0
57 Harrison County 71.7 Relatively Moderate 0
58 Jefferson County 71.7 Relatively Moderate 0
59 Hartley County 71.5 Relatively Moderate 0
60 Hansford County 70 Relatively Moderate 0
61 Bandera County 69.3 Relatively Moderate 0
62 Nolan County 68.6 Relatively Moderate 0
63 Wood County 68.3 Relatively Moderate 0
64 Henderson County 67.7 Relatively Moderate 0
65 Wheeler County 67.6 Relatively Moderate 0
66 Cherokee County 67.5 Relatively Moderate 0
67 Caldwell County 67.3 Relatively Moderate 0
68 Bailey County 66.5 Relatively Moderate 0
69 Panola County 65.3 Relatively Moderate 0
70 Hunt County 64.8 Relatively Moderate 0
71 Upshur County 63.9 Relatively Moderate 0
72 Ellis County 63.6 Relatively Moderate 0
73 Kaufman County 63.4 Relatively Moderate 0
74 Rusk County 62.5 Relatively Moderate 0
75 Terry County 61.8 Relatively Moderate 0
76 Reeves County 61.7 Relatively Moderate 0
77 Anderson County 61.4 Relatively Moderate 0
78 Gaines County 61.2 Relatively Moderate 0
79 Carson County 60.3 Relatively Low 0
80 Yoakum County 59.3 Relatively Low 0
81 Pecos County 58.7 Relatively Low 0
82 McLennan County 58.1 Relatively Low 0
83 Comanche County 58 Relatively Low 0
84 Ward County 58 Relatively Low 0
85 Washington County 57.8 Relatively Low 0
86 Floyd County 57.1 Relatively Low 0
87 Grayson County 57 Relatively Low 0
88 Uvalde County 56.7 Relatively Low 0
89 Jones County 56.5 Relatively Low 0
90 Shelby County 56.4 Relatively Low 0
91 Palo Pinto County 56.3 Relatively Low 0
92 Lampasas County 56 Relatively Low 0
93 Atascosa County 55.6 Relatively Low 0
94 Mitchell County 54.5 Relatively Low 0
95 Wilson County 54.4 Relatively Low 0
96 Sherman County 54.2 Relatively Low 0
97 Van Zandt County 53.4 Relatively Low 0
98 Scurry County 52.9 Relatively Low 0
99 Hopkins County 52.6 Relatively Low 0
100 Cass County 52.5 Relatively Low 0
101 Callahan County 52.4 Relatively Low 0
102 Donley County 51.8 Relatively Low 0
103 Victoria County 51.8 Relatively Low 0
104 Milam County 51.5 Relatively Low 0
105 Maverick County 51.1 Relatively Low 0
106 Titus County 50.2 Relatively Low 0
107 Childress County 49.3 Relatively Low 0
108 Erath County 48.4 Relatively Low 0
109 Walker County 47.6 Relatively Low 0
110 Fort Bend County 46.9 Relatively Low 0
111 Runnels County 46.7 Relatively Low 0
112 Navarro County 46.4 Relatively Low 0
113 Lipscomb County 46.1 Relatively Low 0
114 Gonzales County 45.9 Relatively Low 0
115 Hemphill County 45.4 Relatively Low 0
116 Hardin County 44.3 Relatively Low 0
117 Eastland County 44.2 Relatively Low 0
118 Polk County 43.3 Relatively Low 0
119 Coleman County 43 Relatively Low 0
120 Hall County 43 Relatively Low 0
121 Fayette County 42.9 Relatively Low 0
122 Oldham County 42.7 Relatively Low 0
123 San Patricio County 42 Relatively Low 0
124 Collingsworth County 41.6 Relatively Low 0
125 Brewster County 40.8 Relatively Low 0
126 Orange County 40.6 Relatively Low 0
127 Starr County 40.3 Relatively Low 0
128 Tyler County 40.2 Relatively Low 0
129 Dawson County 40.1 Relatively Low 0
130 Winkler County 39.9 Relatively Low 0
131 Jasper County 39.4 Relatively Low 0
132 Blanco County 39.2 Relatively Low 0
133 Falls County 39.1 Relatively Low 0
134 Johnson County 39.1 Relatively Low 0
135 Wilbarger County 38.4 Relatively Low 0
136 McCulloch County 37.5 Relatively Low 0
137 Armstrong County 37.1 Relatively Low 0
138 Camp County 37 Relatively Low 0
139 Freestone County 36.9 Relatively Low 0
140 Wharton County 36.6 Relatively Low 0
141 Morris County 36.1 Relatively Low 0
142 Kimble County 35.9 Relatively Low 0
143 DeWitt County 35.8 Relatively Low 0
144 Lee County 35.7 Relatively Low 0
145 Parker County 35.4 Relatively Low 0
146 Houston County 35.2 Relatively Low 0
147 Montague County 34.7 Relatively Low 0
148 Garza County 34.5 Relatively Low 0
149 Liberty County 34.3 Relatively Low 0
150 Burleson County 33.7 Relatively Low 0
151 Frio County 33.6 Relatively Low 0
152 Fannin County 33.2 Relatively Low 0
153 Bee County 33 Relatively Low 0
154 Trinity County 32.8 Relatively Low 0
155 Jim Wells County 32.7 Relatively Low 0
156 Culberson County 32.5 Relatively Low 0
157 Rockwall County 32.2 Relatively Low 0
158 Hamilton County 32 Relatively Low 0
159 Young County 32 Relatively Low 0
160 Cooke County 31.9 Relatively Low 0
161 Sabine County 31.5 Relatively Low 0
162 Limestone County 31.3 Relatively Low 0
163 Mason County 30.1 Relatively Low 0
164 Colorado County 30 Relatively Low 0
165 San Saba County 29.4 Relatively Low 0
166 Kleberg County 29.2 Relatively Low 0
167 Cochran County 29.1 Relatively Low 0
168 Crane County 28.6 Relatively Low 0
169 Franklin County 28.5 Relatively Low 0
170 Andrews County 27.9 Relatively Low 0
171 Lavaca County 27.9 Relatively Low 0
172 Hood County 27.7 Relatively Low 0
173 Leon County 27.5 Relatively Low 0
174 Karnes County 27.2 Relatively Low 0
175 Wise County 26.5 Relatively Low 0
176 Mills County 26 Relatively Low 0
177 Real County 24.9 Relatively Low 0
178 Marion County 24.8 Relatively Low 0
179 Red River County 24.5 Very Low 0
180 San Augustine County 24.5 Very Low 0
181 Robertson County 24.4 Very Low 0
182 Lynn County 24 Very Low 0
183 Newton County 24 Very Low 0
184 Crosby County 23.4 Very Low 0
185 Hardeman County 23.2 Very Low 0
186 Sutton County 22.7 Very Low 0
187 Brazoria County 22.4 Very Low 0
188 Upton County 22 Very Low 0
189 Madison County 21.3 Very Low 0
190 Reagan County 20.9 Very Low 0
191 Coke County 20.8 Very Low 0
192 Edwards County 20.1 Very Low 0
193 Presidio County 20.1 Very Low 0
194 Clay County 19.2 Very Low 0
195 Haskell County 19 Very Low 0
196 Jeff Davis County 18.5 Very Low 0
197 Hudspeth County 18 Very Low 0
198 Willacy County 17.3 Very Low 0
199 Jackson County 17.2 Very Low 0
200 Motley County 17.2 Very Low 0
201 Aransas County 17.1 Very Low 0
202 Concho County 16.8 Very Low 0
203 Knox County 16.5 Very Low 0
204 Rains County 16.5 Very Low 0
205 Chambers County 16.2 Very Low 0
206 Menard County 16.2 Very Low 0
207 Archer County 16.1 Very Low 0
208 Galveston County 15.9 Very Low 0
209 Zapata County 15.8 Very Low 0
210 Crockett County 15.7 Very Low 0
211 Calhoun County 15.1 Very Low 0
212 Schleicher County 14.9 Very Low 0
213 Zavala County 14.7 Very Low 0
214 Briscoe County 14.4 Very Low 0
215 Martin County 14.2 Very Low 0
216 Jack County 14 Very Low 0
217 Hill County 13.6 Very Low 0
218 Dimmit County 13.3 Very Low 0
219 Roberts County 13.2 Very Low 0
220 Grimes County 13 Very Low 0
221 Live Oak County 12.7 Very Low 0
222 Cottle County 11.9 Very Low 0
223 Baylor County 11.8 Very Low 0
224 Kinney County 11.2 Very Low 0
225 Fisher County 11 Very Low 0
226 Irion County 10.9 Very Low 0
227 Delta County 10.5 Very Low 0
228 Duval County 10.2 Very Low 0
229 Bosque County 10.1 Very Low 0
230 Waller County 9.4 Very Low 0
231 Dickens County 9 Very Low 0
232 Shackelford County 8.9 Very Low 0
233 Sterling County 8.9 Very Low 0
234 Brooks County 8.8 Very Low 0
235 Glasscock County 8.8 Very Low 0
236 La Salle County 8.5 Very Low 0
237 Refugio County 8.2 Very Low 0
238 Goliad County 8.1 Very Low 0
239 Austin County 7.4 Very Low 0
240 Somervell County 6.9 Very Low 0
241 Jim Hogg County 6.8 Very Low 0
242 Foard County 6.6 Very Low 0
243 San Jacinto County 6.2 Very Low 0
244 Borden County 6.1 Very Low 0
245 Matagorda County 5.7 Very Low 0
246 Stonewall County 5.7 Very Low 0
247 Stephens County 4.6 Very Low 0
248 Throckmorton County 4.4 Very Low 0
249 Kent County 4.2 Very Low 0
250 Terrell County 3.3 Very Low 0
251 King County 2.4 Very Low 0
252 Loving County 1.6 Very Low 0
253 Kenedy County 1.5 Very Low 0
254 McMullen County 1.5 Very Low 0

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.

Winter Weather risk nationally:

Top 50 US counties

Other hazard risks in Texas:

WildfireInland FloodingCoastal FloodingEarthquakeHeat WaveTornadoHurricaneHailStrong WindIce StormCold WaveLightningDroughtLandslideAvalancheTsunamiVolcanic Activity

Frequently asked questions

What is the highest winter weather risk county in Texas?

El Paso County, TX has the highest winter weather risk in Texas, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.9 out of 100 (rated "Very High").

How many counties in Texas are rated Very High for winter weather risk?

8 of 254 scored Texas counties are rated "Very High" for winter weather risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.

What causes winter weather risk in Texas?

Winter weather risk captures expected losses from heavy snow, blizzards, and mixed precipitation. Highest scores appear in the Great Lakes snowbelt, northern Rockies, and interior Northeast, where lake-effect and orographic snowfall is frequent. Winter weather impacts transportation networks, utilities, agriculture, and population health.