Kendall County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Kendall County has experienced 23 federally declared disasters since 1978, most recently Flooding in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Kendall County's highest-rated hazards are hail, wildfire, and lightning, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 52% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Kendall County has been designated in 23 declarations since 1978, covering 8 disaster types including flood (6), fire (5), severe storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2025 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2023 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
Showing the 10 most recent of 23 total declarations since 1978.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 85.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 75.1 | 9 | 1 | $5.0M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 9.2 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 46.2 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 73.6 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 47.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 87.3 | 46 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 64.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 76.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 14.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 50.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 77.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 72.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 52.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Kendall County ranks in the 34th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 28th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 42nd | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 66th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 32nd | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 75th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 76th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 77.1% | — |
NOAA tracked 58 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 23 in 2016–20 vs 35 in 2021–25 (+52% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Kendall County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Kendall County, Texas are hail, wildfire, and lightning. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Kendall County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Kendall County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1978, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is flood (6 declarations).
Has Kendall County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Kendall County include Flooding (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1978.
How does Kendall County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Bexar County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Blanco County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Kendall County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Kendall County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Kendall County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Kendall County's composite score of 66 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 66% of US counties.