Trinity County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Trinity County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Trinity County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, hurricane, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 35 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (92nd percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Trinity County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1989, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (8), flood (5), severe storm (5).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2024 | Hurricane | Hurricane Beryl |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Hurricane | Tropical Storms Marco And Laura |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1989.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 70 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 40.3 | 14 | 1 | $2.7M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 29.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 53.4 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 63.4 | 1 | 1 | $100K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 83.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 22.3 | 14 | 0 | $56K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 82.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 32.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 66.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | 91.7 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 82.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Trinity County ranks in the 92nd percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 92nd | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 86th | High |
| Household characteristics | 99th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 57th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 75th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 70th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 67th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 74.5% | — |
NOAA tracked 35 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 7 in 2016–20 vs 28 in 2021–25 .
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Trinity County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Trinity County, Texas are cold wave, hurricane, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Trinity County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Trinity County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (8 declarations).
Has Trinity County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Trinity County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024), Hurricane Beryl (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1989.
How does Trinity County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Polk County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Madison County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Trinity County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Trinity County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Trinity County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Trinity County's composite score of 61 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 61% of US counties.