Hidalgo County, TX

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 869,532 · Cities: McAllen , Edinburg , Mission , Pharr , Weslaco , San Juan , Alton , Alamo , Mercedes , Donna , Palmview , Hidalgo

Relatively High Riskier than 99% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Hidalgo County has experienced 32 federally declared disasters since 1967, most recently Severe Storms And Flooding in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Hidalgo County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, hurricane, and hail, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 187% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (98th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Hidalgo County has been designated in 32 declarations since 1967, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (15), flood (5), severe storm (4).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2025 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Beryl
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Hurricane Hurricane Hanna
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2018 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2016 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 32 total declarations since 1967.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 83.8 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 96.4 54 3 $165.3M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 79
Heat Wave Relatively High 98.8 62 4
Tornado Relatively High 96 3 0 $500K
Hurricane Very High 99.5 0 0
Hail Very High 99.2 58 0 $335K
Strong Wind Relatively High 89.2 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 95.7 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 98.5
Cold Wave Very High 99.9
Lightning Relatively High 93.1 1 0 $1K
Drought Relatively High 98.6 0 0
Landslide Very Low 48.3 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Hidalgo County ranks in the 98th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 98th High
Socioeconomic status 100th High
Household characteristics 89th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 100th High
Housing type & transportation 75th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 77th Relatively High
Risk to homes 76th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 24.5%

NOAA tracked 178 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 46 in 2016–20 vs 132 in 2021–25 (+187% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Hidalgo County with other counties → All Texas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Hidalgo County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Hidalgo County, Texas are cold wave, hurricane, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Hidalgo County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Hidalgo County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (15 declarations).

Has Hidalgo County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Hidalgo County include Severe Storms And Flooding (2025), Hurricane Beryl (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1967.

How does Hidalgo County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Cameron County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Kenedy County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Hidalgo County is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Hidalgo County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Hidalgo County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Hidalgo County's composite score of 99 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 99% of US counties.

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