Texas drought risk

254 counties scored 2 rated Very High

Lubbock County has the highest drought risk in Texas, scoring 99.8 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

# County NRI score Rating NOAA events
2016–2026
1 Lubbock County 99.8 Very High 0
2 Parmer County 99.7 Very High 0
3 Dallam County 99.2 Relatively High 0
4 Fannin County 99.1 Relatively High 0
5 Moore County 99.1 Relatively High 0
6 Wilbarger County 99 Relatively High 0
7 Hansford County 98.9 Relatively High 0
8 Hall County 98.8 Relatively High 0
9 Hutchinson County 98.8 Relatively High 0
10 Hidalgo County 98.6 Relatively High 0
11 Lipscomb County 98.5 Relatively High 0
12 Sherman County 98.5 Relatively High 0
13 Collingsworth County 98.4 Relatively High 0
14 Ochiltree County 98.4 Relatively High 0
15 Armstrong County 98.3 Relatively High 0
16 Montague County 98.2 Relatively High 0
17 Deaf Smith County 98.1 Relatively High 0
18 Hartley County 98.1 Relatively High 0
19 Cooke County 98 Relatively High 0
20 Nueces County 98 Relatively High 0
21 Donley County 97.9 Relatively High 0
22 Carson County 97.8 Relatively High 0
23 Gray County 97.8 Relatively High 0
24 Leon County 97.7 Relatively High 0
25 Wheeler County 97.7 Relatively High 0
26 Randall County 97.6 Relatively High 0
27 Knox County 97.5 Relatively High 0
28 Tom Green County 97.5 Relatively High 0
29 Cottle County 97.4 Relatively High 0
30 Galveston County 96.9 Relatively High 0
31 Dickens County 96.8 Relatively High 0
32 Garza County 96.8 Relatively High 0
33 Bailey County 96.7 Relatively High 0
34 Culberson County 96.7 Relatively High 0
35 Briscoe County 96.6 Relatively High 0
36 Crosby County 96.2 Relatively High 0
37 Yoakum County 96.2 Relatively High 0
38 El Paso County 96 Relatively High 0
39 Oldham County 95.6 Relatively High 0
40 Potter County 95.5 Relatively High 0
41 Childress County 95.2 Relatively High 0
42 Lamb County 94.9 Relatively High 0
43 Cochran County 94.8 Relatively High 0
44 Terry County 94.8 Relatively High 0
45 Howard County 94.7 Relatively High 0
46 Pecos County 94.5 Relatively High 0
47 Baylor County 94.4 Relatively High 0
48 Castro County 94.3 Relatively High 0
49 Zavala County 94.3 Relatively High 0
50 Gaines County 94.2 Relatively High 0
51 Upton County 94.1 Relatively High 0
52 Lynn County 94 Relatively High 0
53 Dawson County 93.8 Relatively High 0
54 Hockley County 93.7 Relatively High 0
55 San Patricio County 93.7 Relatively High 0
56 Martin County 93.6 Relatively High 0
57 Wichita County 93.6 Relatively High 0
58 Borden County 93.5 Relatively High 0
59 Swisher County 93.5 Relatively High 0
60 Frio County 93.4 Relatively High 0
61 Grimes County 93.3 Relatively High 0
62 Reagan County 93 Relatively High 0
63 Hale County 92.9 Relatively High 0
64 Colorado County 92.5 Relatively High 0
65 Scurry County 92.5 Relatively High 0
66 Atascosa County 92.3 Relatively High 0
67 Young County 92.3 Relatively High 0
68 Midland County 92.2 Relatively High 0
69 Floyd County 92 Relatively High 0
70 Glasscock County 91.4 Relatively High 0
71 Wharton County 91.4 Relatively High 0
72 Waller County 91.2 Relatively High 0
73 Roberts County 91 Relatively High 0
74 Calhoun County 90.9 Relatively High 0
75 Medina County 90.8 Relatively High 0
76 Willacy County 90.8 Relatively High 0
77 Stonewall County 90.7 Relatively High 0
78 Matagorda County 90.5 Relatively Moderate 0
79 Foard County 90.1 Relatively Moderate 0
80 Uvalde County 90.1 Relatively Moderate 0
81 Jackson County 90 Relatively Moderate 0
82 Victoria County 90 Relatively Moderate 0
83 Hemphill County 89.9 Relatively Moderate 0
84 Nolan County 89.9 Relatively Moderate 0
85 Bee County 89.6 Relatively Moderate 0
86 Gonzales County 89.2 Relatively Moderate 0
87 Cherokee County 88.2 Relatively Moderate 0
88 Concho County 87.9 Relatively Moderate 0
89 Jones County 87.8 Relatively Moderate 0
90 Mitchell County 87.7 Relatively Moderate 0
91 Jefferson County 87.6 Relatively Moderate 0
92 Wilson County 87.6 Relatively Moderate 0
93 Presidio County 87.5 Relatively Moderate 0
94 Walker County 87.5 Relatively Moderate 0
95 Karnes County 87 Relatively Moderate 0
96 Milam County 86.4 Relatively Moderate 0
97 Caldwell County 85.7 Relatively Moderate 0
98 Haskell County 85.5 Relatively Moderate 0
99 Throckmorton County 85.4 Relatively Moderate 0
100 Runnels County 85.2 Relatively Moderate 0
101 Brazos County 85 Relatively Moderate 0
102 Andrews County 84.9 Relatively Moderate 0
103 Limestone County 84.8 Relatively Moderate 0
104 Burleson County 84.7 Relatively Moderate 0
105 Fort Bend County 84.6 Relatively Moderate 0
106 Brazoria County 84.5 Relatively Moderate 0
107 Refugio County 84.3 Relatively Moderate 0
108 Austin County 83.9 Relatively Moderate 0
109 Reeves County 83.7 Relatively Moderate 0
110 McCulloch County 83.3 Relatively Moderate 0
111 Cameron County 83.2 Relatively Moderate 0
112 Lee County 83.1 Relatively Moderate 0
113 Blanco County 82.6 Relatively Moderate 0
114 Hardeman County 82.4 Relatively Moderate 0
115 Lamar County 82.3 Relatively Moderate 0
116 Schleicher County 82.3 Relatively Moderate 0
117 Hill County 82.1 Relatively Moderate 0
118 Houston County 81.9 Relatively Moderate 0
119 Motley County 81.6 Relatively Moderate 0
120 Jim Wells County 81.4 Relatively Moderate 0
121 Maverick County 81.4 Relatively Moderate 0
122 Wood County 81.3 Relatively Moderate 0
123 Hudspeth County 81.2 Relatively Moderate 0
124 Gillespie County 80.9 Relatively Moderate 0
125 Dimmit County 80.7 Relatively Moderate 0
126 Comanche County 80 Relatively Moderate 0
127 Delta County 79.6 Relatively Moderate 0
128 Winkler County 79.5 Relatively Moderate 0
129 Madison County 79.3 Relatively Moderate 0
130 Mason County 79.1 Relatively Moderate 0
131 Washington County 78.9 Relatively Moderate 0
132 Guadalupe County 78.5 Relatively Moderate 0
133 Red River County 78.1 Relatively Moderate 0
134 Coleman County 77.9 Relatively Moderate 0
135 Hays County 77.6 Relatively Moderate 0
136 Kent County 77.4 Relatively Moderate 0
137 Liberty County 77.3 Relatively Moderate 0
138 Kerr County 77.2 Relatively Moderate 0
139 Van Zandt County 77.2 Relatively Moderate 0
140 San Saba County 76.6 Relatively Moderate 0
141 Fisher County 76.5 Relatively Moderate 0
142 Bastrop County 76.4 Relatively Moderate 0
143 Jack County 75.3 Relatively Moderate 0
144 Harris County 75.1 Relatively Moderate 0
145 Sterling County 74.7 Relatively Moderate 0
146 Brewster County 74.4 Relatively Moderate 0
147 Fayette County 73.7 Relatively Moderate 0
148 Kendall County 72.8 Relatively Moderate 0
149 Taylor County 72.8 Relatively Moderate 0
150 Kinney County 72.7 Relatively Moderate 0
151 Marion County 72.5 Relatively Moderate 0
152 Williamson County 72.4 Relatively Moderate 0
153 Camp County 72.1 Relatively Moderate 0
154 DeWitt County 72 Relatively Moderate 0
155 Brown County 71.7 Relatively Moderate 0
156 Archer County 70.8 Relatively Moderate 0
157 Bowie County 70.5 Relatively Moderate 0
158 Starr County 69.7 Relatively Moderate 0
159 Bexar County 69.5 Relatively Moderate 0
160 Freestone County 69.5 Relatively Moderate 0
161 Bandera County 68.9 Relatively Moderate 0
162 Clay County 68.8 Relatively Moderate 0
163 Cass County 68.7 Relatively Moderate 0
164 Montgomery County 68.6 Relatively Moderate 0
165 Llano County 67.9 Relatively Moderate 0
166 Burnet County 67.4 Relatively Moderate 0
167 Harrison County 67.2 Relatively Moderate 0
168 Franklin County 67 Relatively Moderate 0
169 Titus County 67 Relatively Moderate 0
170 Shelby County 66.8 Relatively Moderate 0
171 Hopkins County 66.7 Relatively Moderate 0
172 Lavaca County 66.7 Relatively Moderate 0
173 Comal County 66.6 Relatively Moderate 0
174 Rusk County 66.2 Relatively Moderate 0
175 Robertson County 66.1 Relatively Moderate 0
176 Gregg County 66 Relatively Moderate 0
177 Upshur County 65.3 Relatively Moderate 0
178 Nacogdoches County 65.1 Relatively Moderate 0
179 Erath County 65 Relatively Moderate 0
180 Kimble County 64.8 Relatively Moderate 0
181 Live Oak County 64.2 Relatively Moderate 0
182 Anderson County 63.4 Relatively Low 0
183 Chambers County 63.4 Relatively Low 0
184 Kleberg County 63.2 Relatively Low 0
185 Val Verde County 63 Relatively Low 0
186 Falls County 62.3 Relatively Low 0
187 Bell County 62 Relatively Low 0
188 Edwards County 61.9 Relatively Low 0
189 Angelina County 61.4 Relatively Low 0
190 Goliad County 61.1 Relatively Low 0
191 Menard County 60.7 Relatively Low 0
192 Eastland County 60.1 Relatively Low 0
193 Callahan County 59.9 Relatively Low 0
194 Irion County 59.4 Relatively Low 0
195 Ector County 59 Relatively Low 0
196 Palo Pinto County 58.7 Relatively Low 0
197 Coke County 58.6 Relatively Low 0
198 Henderson County 58.5 Relatively Low 0
199 Ward County 58.5 Relatively Low 0
200 Navarro County 57.2 Relatively Low 0
201 Rains County 57 Relatively Low 0
202 McLennan County 55.7 Relatively Low 0
203 Hamilton County 50.3 Relatively Low 0
204 Travis County 50 Relatively Low 0
205 Crockett County 49.8 Relatively Low 0
206 Hood County 49.6 Relatively Low 0
207 Stephens County 48.3 Relatively Low 0
208 Grayson County 47.7 Relatively Low 0
209 Mills County 47.7 Relatively Low 0
210 Sutton County 47.6 Relatively Low 0
211 Shackelford County 47.4 Relatively Low 0
212 La Salle County 47.3 Relatively Low 0
213 King County 46.3 Relatively Low 0
214 Hunt County 43.9 Relatively Low 0
215 Somervell County 43.8 Relatively Low 0
216 Coryell County 43.7 Relatively Low 0
217 Lampasas County 43.2 Relatively Low 0
218 Orange County 43.1 Relatively Low 0
219 Bosque County 42.1 Relatively Low 0
220 Jasper County 42 Relatively Low 0
221 Ellis County 41.7 Relatively Low 0
222 Hardin County 41.5 Relatively Low 0
223 Real County 41.5 Relatively Low 0
224 Webb County 38.3 Relatively Low 0
225 McMullen County 38.2 Relatively Low 0
226 Johnson County 37.5 Relatively Low 0
227 Wise County 37 Relatively Low 0
228 Denton County 36.9 Relatively Low 0
229 Tarrant County 36.1 Relatively Low 0
230 Kaufman County 35.8 Relatively Low 0
231 Rockwall County 35.3 Relatively Low 0
232 Dallas County 34.2 Relatively Low 0
233 Parker County 34.1 Relatively Low 0
234 Duval County 33.7 Relatively Low 0
235 Zapata County 33.4 Relatively Low 0
236 Collin County 32.4 Relatively Low 0
237 Newton County 30.4 Very Low 0
238 Brooks County 25.6 Very Low 0
239 Kenedy County 21.2 Very Low 0
240 Jeff Davis County 20.4 Very Low 0
241 Aransas County 16.8 Very Low 0
242 Crane County 13.5 Very Low 0
243 Jim Hogg County 0 No Rating 0
244 Loving County 0 No Rating 0
245 Morris County 0 No Rating 0
246 Panola County 0 No Rating 0
247 Polk County 0 No Rating 0
248 Sabine County 0 No Rating 0
249 San Augustine County 0 No Rating 0
250 San Jacinto County 0 No Rating 0
251 Smith County 0 No Rating 0
252 Terrell County 0 No Rating 0
253 Trinity County 0 No Rating 0
254 Tyler County 0 No Rating 0

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.

Drought risk nationally:

Other hazard risks in Texas:

Frequently asked questions

What is the highest drought risk county in Texas?

Lubbock County, TX has the highest drought risk in Texas, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.8 out of 100 (rated "Very High").

How many counties in Texas are rated Very High for drought risk?

2 of 254 scored Texas counties are rated "Very High" for drought risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.

What causes drought risk in Texas?

Drought risk captures expected annual losses from prolonged precipitation deficits affecting agriculture, water supply, and ecosystems. High scores cover the western Great Plains, Southwest, and California's Central Valley. Climate change is increasing drought frequency and severity across much of the US, with multi-year droughts becoming more common in the West.