Texas drought risk
Lubbock County has the highest drought risk in Texas, scoring 99.8 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.
| # | County | NRI score | Rating |
NOAA events 2016–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lubbock County | 99.8 | Very High | 0 |
| 2 | Parmer County | 99.7 | Very High | 0 |
| 3 | Dallam County | 99.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 4 | Fannin County | 99.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 5 | Moore County | 99.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 6 | Wilbarger County | 99 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 7 | Hansford County | 98.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 8 | Hall County | 98.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 9 | Hutchinson County | 98.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 10 | Hidalgo County | 98.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 11 | Lipscomb County | 98.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 12 | Sherman County | 98.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 13 | Collingsworth County | 98.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 14 | Ochiltree County | 98.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 15 | Armstrong County | 98.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 16 | Montague County | 98.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 17 | Deaf Smith County | 98.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 18 | Hartley County | 98.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 19 | Cooke County | 98 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 20 | Nueces County | 98 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 21 | Donley County | 97.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 22 | Carson County | 97.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 23 | Gray County | 97.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 24 | Leon County | 97.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 25 | Wheeler County | 97.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 26 | Randall County | 97.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 27 | Knox County | 97.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 28 | Tom Green County | 97.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 29 | Cottle County | 97.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 30 | Galveston County | 96.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 31 | Dickens County | 96.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 32 | Garza County | 96.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 33 | Bailey County | 96.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 34 | Culberson County | 96.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 35 | Briscoe County | 96.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 36 | Crosby County | 96.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 37 | Yoakum County | 96.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 38 | El Paso County | 96 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 39 | Oldham County | 95.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 40 | Potter County | 95.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 41 | Childress County | 95.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 42 | Lamb County | 94.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 43 | Cochran County | 94.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 44 | Terry County | 94.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 45 | Howard County | 94.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 46 | Pecos County | 94.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 47 | Baylor County | 94.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 48 | Castro County | 94.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 49 | Zavala County | 94.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 50 | Gaines County | 94.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 51 | Upton County | 94.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 52 | Lynn County | 94 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 53 | Dawson County | 93.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 54 | Hockley County | 93.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 55 | San Patricio County | 93.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 56 | Martin County | 93.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 57 | Wichita County | 93.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 58 | Borden County | 93.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 59 | Swisher County | 93.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 60 | Frio County | 93.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 61 | Grimes County | 93.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 62 | Reagan County | 93 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 63 | Hale County | 92.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 64 | Colorado County | 92.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 65 | Scurry County | 92.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 66 | Atascosa County | 92.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 67 | Young County | 92.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 68 | Midland County | 92.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 69 | Floyd County | 92 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 70 | Glasscock County | 91.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 71 | Wharton County | 91.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 72 | Waller County | 91.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 73 | Roberts County | 91 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 74 | Calhoun County | 90.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 75 | Medina County | 90.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 76 | Willacy County | 90.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 77 | Stonewall County | 90.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 78 | Matagorda County | 90.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 79 | Foard County | 90.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 80 | Uvalde County | 90.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 81 | Jackson County | 90 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 82 | Victoria County | 90 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 83 | Hemphill County | 89.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 84 | Nolan County | 89.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 85 | Bee County | 89.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 86 | Gonzales County | 89.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 87 | Cherokee County | 88.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 88 | Concho County | 87.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 89 | Jones County | 87.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 90 | Mitchell County | 87.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 91 | Jefferson County | 87.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 92 | Wilson County | 87.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 93 | Presidio County | 87.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 94 | Walker County | 87.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 95 | Karnes County | 87 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 96 | Milam County | 86.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 97 | Caldwell County | 85.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 98 | Haskell County | 85.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 99 | Throckmorton County | 85.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 100 | Runnels County | 85.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 101 | Brazos County | 85 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 102 | Andrews County | 84.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 103 | Limestone County | 84.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 104 | Burleson County | 84.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 105 | Fort Bend County | 84.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 106 | Brazoria County | 84.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 107 | Refugio County | 84.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 108 | Austin County | 83.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 109 | Reeves County | 83.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 110 | McCulloch County | 83.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 111 | Cameron County | 83.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 112 | Lee County | 83.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 113 | Blanco County | 82.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 114 | Hardeman County | 82.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 115 | Lamar County | 82.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 116 | Schleicher County | 82.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 117 | Hill County | 82.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 118 | Houston County | 81.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 119 | Motley County | 81.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 120 | Jim Wells County | 81.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 121 | Maverick County | 81.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 122 | Wood County | 81.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 123 | Hudspeth County | 81.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 124 | Gillespie County | 80.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 125 | Dimmit County | 80.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 126 | Comanche County | 80 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 127 | Delta County | 79.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 128 | Winkler County | 79.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 129 | Madison County | 79.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 130 | Mason County | 79.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 131 | Washington County | 78.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 132 | Guadalupe County | 78.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 133 | Red River County | 78.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 134 | Coleman County | 77.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 135 | Hays County | 77.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 136 | Kent County | 77.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 137 | Liberty County | 77.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 138 | Kerr County | 77.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 139 | Van Zandt County | 77.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 140 | San Saba County | 76.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 141 | Fisher County | 76.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 142 | Bastrop County | 76.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 143 | Jack County | 75.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 144 | Harris County | 75.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 145 | Sterling County | 74.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 146 | Brewster County | 74.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 147 | Fayette County | 73.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 148 | Kendall County | 72.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 149 | Taylor County | 72.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 150 | Kinney County | 72.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 151 | Marion County | 72.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 152 | Williamson County | 72.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 153 | Camp County | 72.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 154 | DeWitt County | 72 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 155 | Brown County | 71.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 156 | Archer County | 70.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 157 | Bowie County | 70.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 158 | Starr County | 69.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 159 | Bexar County | 69.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 160 | Freestone County | 69.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 161 | Bandera County | 68.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 162 | Clay County | 68.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 163 | Cass County | 68.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 164 | Montgomery County | 68.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 165 | Llano County | 67.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 166 | Burnet County | 67.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 167 | Harrison County | 67.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 168 | Franklin County | 67 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 169 | Titus County | 67 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 170 | Shelby County | 66.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 171 | Hopkins County | 66.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 172 | Lavaca County | 66.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 173 | Comal County | 66.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 174 | Rusk County | 66.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 175 | Robertson County | 66.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 176 | Gregg County | 66 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 177 | Upshur County | 65.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 178 | Nacogdoches County | 65.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 179 | Erath County | 65 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 180 | Kimble County | 64.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 181 | Live Oak County | 64.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 182 | Anderson County | 63.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 183 | Chambers County | 63.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 184 | Kleberg County | 63.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 185 | Val Verde County | 63 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 186 | Falls County | 62.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 187 | Bell County | 62 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 188 | Edwards County | 61.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 189 | Angelina County | 61.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 190 | Goliad County | 61.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 191 | Menard County | 60.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 192 | Eastland County | 60.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 193 | Callahan County | 59.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 194 | Irion County | 59.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 195 | Ector County | 59 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 196 | Palo Pinto County | 58.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 197 | Coke County | 58.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 198 | Henderson County | 58.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 199 | Ward County | 58.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 200 | Navarro County | 57.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 201 | Rains County | 57 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 202 | McLennan County | 55.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 203 | Hamilton County | 50.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 204 | Travis County | 50 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 205 | Crockett County | 49.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 206 | Hood County | 49.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 207 | Stephens County | 48.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 208 | Grayson County | 47.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 209 | Mills County | 47.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 210 | Sutton County | 47.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 211 | Shackelford County | 47.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 212 | La Salle County | 47.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 213 | King County | 46.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 214 | Hunt County | 43.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 215 | Somervell County | 43.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 216 | Coryell County | 43.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 217 | Lampasas County | 43.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 218 | Orange County | 43.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 219 | Bosque County | 42.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 220 | Jasper County | 42 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 221 | Ellis County | 41.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 222 | Hardin County | 41.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 223 | Real County | 41.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 224 | Webb County | 38.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 225 | McMullen County | 38.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 226 | Johnson County | 37.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 227 | Wise County | 37 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 228 | Denton County | 36.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 229 | Tarrant County | 36.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 230 | Kaufman County | 35.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 231 | Rockwall County | 35.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 232 | Dallas County | 34.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 233 | Parker County | 34.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 234 | Duval County | 33.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 235 | Zapata County | 33.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 236 | Collin County | 32.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 237 | Newton County | 30.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 238 | Brooks County | 25.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 239 | Kenedy County | 21.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 240 | Jeff Davis County | 20.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 241 | Aransas County | 16.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 242 | Crane County | 13.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 243 | Jim Hogg County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 244 | Loving County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 245 | Morris County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 246 | Panola County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 247 | Polk County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 248 | Sabine County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 249 | San Augustine County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 250 | San Jacinto County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 251 | Smith County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 252 | Terrell County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 253 | Trinity County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
| 254 | Tyler County | 0 | No Rating | 0 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.
Drought risk nationally:
Other hazard risks in Texas:
Frequently asked questions
What is the highest drought risk county in Texas?
Lubbock County, TX has the highest drought risk in Texas, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.8 out of 100 (rated "Very High").
How many counties in Texas are rated Very High for drought risk?
2 of 254 scored Texas counties are rated "Very High" for drought risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.
What causes drought risk in Texas?
Drought risk captures expected annual losses from prolonged precipitation deficits affecting agriculture, water supply, and ecosystems. High scores cover the western Great Plains, Southwest, and California's Central Valley. Climate change is increasing drought frequency and severity across much of the US, with multi-year droughts becoming more common in the West.