Randall County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Randall County has experienced 18 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Hunggate Fire in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Randall County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, hail, and drought, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 243 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Randall County has been designated in 18 declarations since 1989, covering 5 disaster types including fire (7), hurricane (4), severe ice storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Fire | Hunggate Fire |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2011 | Fire | Tanglewood Fire Complex |
| 2011 | Fire | Pitt Road Fire |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2008 | Hurricane | Hurricane Ike |
Showing the 10 most recent of 18 total declarations since 1989.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 95.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 66.9 | 46 | 0 | $196K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 73.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 73.2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 96.4 | 12 | 0 | $1.4M |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively High | 99 | 185 | 0 | $6.1M |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 95.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very High | 99.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 58.3 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | 89.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 73.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively High | 97.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Randall County ranks in the 35th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 22nd | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 38th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 69th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 48th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 98th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 97th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 32.4% | — |
NOAA tracked 243 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 128 in 2016–20 vs 115 in 2021–25 (-10% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Randall County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Randall County, Texas are winter weather, hail, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Randall County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Randall County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is fire (7 declarations).
Has Randall County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Randall County include Hunggate Fire (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1989.
How does Randall County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Potter County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Armstrong County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Randall County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Randall County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Randall County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Randall County's composite score of 87 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 87% of US counties.