Red River County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Red River County has experienced 26 federally declared disasters since 1966, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Red River County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, drought, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 16% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Red River County has been designated in 26 declarations since 1966, covering 8 disaster types including flood (5), severe storm (5), fire (5).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2023 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Hurricane | Tropical Storms Marco And Laura |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 26 total declarations since 1966.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 59.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 11.7 | 19 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 37.4 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 57.7 | 64 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 72.7 | 7 | 0 | $7.9M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 46.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 59.8 | 33 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 36.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 100 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 39.2 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 34.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 78.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Red River County ranks in the 69th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 69th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 79th | High |
| Household characteristics | 68th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 63rd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 38th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 79th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 75th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 74.6% | — |
NOAA tracked 123 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 57 in 2016–20 vs 66 in 2021–25 (+16% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Red River County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Red River County, Texas are ice storm, drought, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Red River County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Red River County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1966, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is flood (5 declarations).
Has Red River County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Red River County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1966.
How does Red River County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Lamar County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Franklin County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Red River County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Red River County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Red River County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Red River County's composite score of 65 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 65% of US counties.