Shackelford County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Shackelford County has experienced 18 federally declared disasters since 1978, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Shackelford County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, drought, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 25 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Shackelford County has been designated in 18 declarations since 1978, covering 7 disaster types including fire (5), severe storm (4), hurricane (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2011 | Fire | Snyder Fire |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
Showing the 10 most recent of 18 total declarations since 1978.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 75.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 3.2 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 5.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 19 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 47.4 | 19 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 5.2 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 8.7 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 47.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 30.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Shackelford County ranks in the 39th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 51st | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 21st | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 44th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 39th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 95th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 95th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 57.1% | — |
NOAA tracked 25 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 13 in 2016–20 vs 12 in 2021–25 (-8% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Shackelford County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Shackelford County, Texas are wildfire, drought, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Shackelford County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Shackelford County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1978, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is fire (5 declarations).
Has Shackelford County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Shackelford County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Shackelford County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Eastland County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Throckmorton County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Shackelford County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Shackelford County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Shackelford County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Shackelford County's composite score of 1 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 1% of US counties.