Jones County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Jones County has experienced 24 federally declared disasters since 1990, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Jones County's highest-rated hazards are hail, drought, and wildfire, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 34% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Jones County has been designated in 24 declarations since 1990, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (6), fire (5), flood (5).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2018 | Fire | 335 Fire |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 24 total declarations since 1990.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 85.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 39.7 | 8 | 2 | $6.3M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 20.2 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 54.4 | 9 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 32.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 91.5 | 93 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 55.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 56.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 30.4 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 19.5 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 87.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 31.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Jones County ranks in the 58th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 77th | High |
| Household characteristics | 23rd | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 81st | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 36th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 84th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 85th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 52.7% | — |
NOAA tracked 110 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 47 in 2016–20 vs 63 in 2021–25 (+34% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Jones County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Jones County, Texas are hail, drought, and wildfire. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Jones County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Jones County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (6 declarations).
Has Jones County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Jones County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1990.
How does Jones County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Taylor County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Shackelford County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Jones County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Jones County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Jones County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Jones County's composite score of 38 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 38% of US counties.