Throckmorton County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Throckmorton County has experienced 20 federally declared disasters since 1978, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Throckmorton County's highest-rated hazards are drought, wildfire, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 34% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (16th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Throckmorton County has been designated in 20 declarations since 1978, covering 7 disaster types including flood (4), severe storm (4), fire (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 20 total declarations since 1978.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 70.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 2 | 8 | 0 | $860K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 4.7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 17.1 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 53.4 | 37 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 5.1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 8.2 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 85.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Throckmorton County ranks in the 16th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16th | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 44th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 24th | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 45th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 1st | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 94th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 95th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 67.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 48 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 29 in 2016–20 vs 19 in 2021–25 (-34% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Throckmorton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Throckmorton County, Texas are drought, wildfire, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Throckmorton County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Throckmorton County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1978, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is flood (4 declarations).
Has Throckmorton County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Throckmorton County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Throckmorton County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Young County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and Shackelford County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Throckmorton County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Throckmorton County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Throckmorton County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Throckmorton County's composite score of 3 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 3% of US counties.