Jack County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Jack County has experienced 18 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Jack County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, drought, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 97% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (94th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Jack County has been designated in 18 declarations since 1989, covering 6 disaster types including fire (6), severe storm (4), hurricane (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2011 | Fire | Enmin Fire |
| 2011 | Fire | Bryson Fire Complex |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
Showing the 10 most recent of 18 total declarations since 1989.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 86.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 10.1 | 10 | 0 | $41K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 16.3 | 1 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 59.1 | 49 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 41.4 | 7 | 0 | $270K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 30.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 50.5 | 41 | 0 | $303K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 33.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 29 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 18.1 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 75.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 51.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Jack County ranks in the 94th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 94th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 95th | High |
| Household characteristics | 72nd | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 59th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 97th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 96th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 96th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 78.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 107 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 36 in 2016–20 vs 71 in 2021–25 (+97% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Jack County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Jack County, Texas are wildfire, drought, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Jack County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Jack County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is fire (6 declarations).
Has Jack County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Jack County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Jack County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Parker County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Archer County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Jack County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Jack County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Jack County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Jack County's composite score of 11 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 11% of US counties.