San Augustine County, TX

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 7,902

Very Low Riskier than 18% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

San Augustine County has experienced 26 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

San Augustine County's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hurricane, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 78% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (99th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. San Augustine County has been designated in 26 declarations since 1989, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (8), fire (5), flood (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Flood Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Beryl
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Hurricane Tropical Storms Marco And Laura
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2017 Hurricane Hurricane Harvey
2016 Flood Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2015 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 total declarations since 1989.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 56.4 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 17 11 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 24.1 2
Heat Wave Relatively Low 56.5 77 0
Tornado Relatively Low 44.8 3 0 $5.2M
Hurricane Relatively Low 73.5 0 0
Hail Very Low 12 12 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 82 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 24.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 54.1
Cold Wave Relatively Low 28.3
Lightning Relatively Low 46.2 0 0
Drought No Rating 0 0 0
Landslide Very Low 30.2 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

San Augustine County ranks in the 99th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 99th High
Socioeconomic status 98th High
Household characteristics 94th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 68th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 97th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 65th Relatively High
Risk to homes 64th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 87.9%

NOAA tracked 100 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 36 in 2016–20 vs 64 in 2021–25 (+78% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare San Augustine County with other counties → All Texas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in San Augustine County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in San Augustine County, Texas are strong wind, hurricane, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has San Augustine County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. San Augustine County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (8 declarations).

Has San Augustine County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for San Augustine County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024), Hurricane Beryl (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1989.

How does San Augustine County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Nacogdoches County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Sabine County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). San Augustine County is rated Very Low overall.

How is San Augustine County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

San Augustine County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. San Augustine County's composite score of 18 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 18% of US counties.

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