Kinney County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Kinney County has experienced 15 federally declared disasters since 1990, most recently Flooding in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Kinney County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hail, and hurricane, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 43% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Kinney County has been designated in 15 declarations since 1990, covering 8 disaster types including fire (3), hurricane (3), severe ice storm (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
Showing the 10 most recent of 15 total declarations since 1990.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 6 | 13 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 1.7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 24.8 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 11.8 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 40.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 42.3 | 31 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.8 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 14.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 72.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Kinney County ranks in the 63rd percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 63rd | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 49th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 93rd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 94th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 24th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 59th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 61st | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 49.9% | — |
NOAA tracked 44 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 28 in 2016–20 vs 16 in 2021–25 (-43% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Kinney County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Kinney County, Texas are drought, hail, and hurricane. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Kinney County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Kinney County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is fire (3 declarations).
Has Kinney County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Kinney County include Flooding (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1990.
How does Kinney County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Val Verde County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Edwards County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Kinney County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Kinney County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Kinney County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Kinney County's composite score of 2 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 2% of US counties.