Uvalde County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Uvalde County has experienced 20 federally declared disasters since 1990, most recently Flooding in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Uvalde County's highest-rated hazards are drought, inland flooding, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 45% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (99th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Uvalde County has been designated in 20 declarations since 1990, covering 8 disaster types including flood (5), severe storm (3), fire (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2025 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 20 total declarations since 1990.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 73.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 82.3 | 47 | 1 | $100K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 15.6 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 81.9 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 50.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 62.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 69.8 | 44 | 0 | $2K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 27.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 56.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 24.4 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 31.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 63.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 90.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Uvalde County ranks in the 99th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 99th | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 91st | High |
| Household characteristics | 100th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 97th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 94th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 66th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 69th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 59.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 96 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 62 in 2016–20 vs 34 in 2021–25 (-45% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Uvalde County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Uvalde County, Texas are drought, inland flooding, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Uvalde County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Uvalde County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is flood (5 declarations).
Has Uvalde County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Uvalde County include Flooding (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1990.
How does Uvalde County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Medina County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Kinney County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Uvalde County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Uvalde County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Uvalde County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Uvalde County's composite score of 70 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 70% of US counties.