Rains County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Rains County has experienced 17 federally declared disasters since 1966, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Rains County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, tornado, and drought, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 30% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Rains County has been designated in 17 declarations since 1966, covering 6 disaster types including flood (3), severe ice storm (3), severe storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
Showing the 10 most recent of 17 total declarations since 1966.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 42.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 12.5 | 3 | 0 | $20K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 22.6 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 47.9 | 44 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 62.1 | 2 | 0 | $90K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 42 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 46.5 | 13 | 0 | $810K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 30.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 82.9 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 33.3 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 28.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Rains County ranks in the 47th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 47th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 33rd | Low |
| Household characteristics | 92nd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 46th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 26th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 65th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 62nd | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 82.9% | — |
NOAA tracked 62 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 27 in 2016–20 vs 35 in 2021–25 (+30% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Rains County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Rains County, Texas are ice storm, tornado, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Rains County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Rains County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1966, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is flood (3 declarations).
Has Rains County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Rains County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1966.
How does Rains County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Hunt County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Van Zandt County, TX has the lowest (Relatively Low). Rains County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Rains County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Rains County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Rains County's composite score of 14 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 14% of US counties.