Kaufman County, TX

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 145,255 · Cities: Forney , Terrell

Relatively Low Riskier than 76% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Kaufman County has experienced 20 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Kaufman County's highest-rated hazards are hail, heat wave, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 230% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (71st percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Kaufman County has been designated in 20 declarations since 1989, covering 8 disaster types including severe storm (6), hurricane (4), fire (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Flood Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2016 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2015 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And Flooding
2008 Fire Wildfires
2008 Hurricane Hurricane Ike
2007 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 20 total declarations since 1989.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 80 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 76.4 27 0 $2.2M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 59.1
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 93.3 49 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 84.6 4 0 $1.2M
Hurricane Very Low 50.3 0 0
Hail Relatively High 94.5 62 0 $776K
Strong Wind Relatively Low 49.3 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 63.4 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 41.6
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 82.5
Lightning Relatively Low 49.7 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 35.8 0 0
Landslide Very Low 18.9 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Kaufman County ranks in the 71st percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 71st Moderate
Socioeconomic status 71st Moderate
Household characteristics 70th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 82nd High
Housing type & transportation 46th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 67th Relatively High
Risk to homes 66th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 60.0%

NOAA tracked 142 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 33 in 2016–20 vs 109 in 2021–25 (+230% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Kaufman County with other counties → All Texas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Kaufman County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Kaufman County, Texas are hail, heat wave, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Kaufman County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Kaufman County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (6 declarations).

Has Kaufman County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Kaufman County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1989.

How does Kaufman County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Dallas County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very High) and Rains County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Kaufman County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Kaufman County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Kaufman County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Kaufman County's composite score of 76 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 76% of US counties.

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