Cottle County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Cottle County has experienced 19 federally declared disasters since 1990, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Cottle County's highest-rated hazards are drought, wildfire, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 34 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Cottle County has been designated in 19 declarations since 1990, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (5), fire (5), hurricane (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2010 | Hurricane | Hurricane Alex |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
Showing the 10 most recent of 19 total declarations since 1990.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 62.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 1.5 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 8.4 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 17.6 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 59.5 | 27 | 0 | $11K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 33 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 30 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 5.1 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively High | 97.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Cottle County ranks in the 67th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 67th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 68th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 93rd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 78th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 19th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 92nd | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 95th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 51.6% | — |
NOAA tracked 34 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 18 in 2016–20 vs 16 in 2021–25 (-11% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Cottle County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Cottle County, Texas are drought, wildfire, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Cottle County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Cottle County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (5 declarations).
Has Cottle County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Cottle County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Cottle County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Hall County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Very Low) and King County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Cottle County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Cottle County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Cottle County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Cottle County's composite score of 13 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 13% of US counties.