Parmer County, TX
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Parmer County has experienced 15 federally declared disasters since 1970, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Parmer County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hail, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 33% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Parmer County has been designated in 15 declarations since 1970, covering 6 disaster types including severe ice storm (3), severe storm (3), fire (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
Showing the 10 most recent of 15 total declarations since 1970.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 67.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 5.3 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 24 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 42 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 86.6 | 29 | 0 | $3K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 38.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 72.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 14.3 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 48.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very High | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Parmer County ranks in the 66th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 66th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 64th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 78th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 95th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 28th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 80th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 81st | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 35.2% | — |
NOAA tracked 35 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 15 in 2016–20 vs 20 in 2021–25 (+33% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Parmer County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Parmer County, Texas are drought, hail, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Parmer County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Parmer County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1970, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is severe ice storm (3 declarations).
Has Parmer County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Parmer County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Parmer County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Roosevelt County, NM has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Castro County, TX has the lowest (Very Low). Parmer County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Parmer County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Parmer County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Parmer County's composite score of 82 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 82% of US counties.