Roosevelt County, NM

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 19,167 · Cities: Portales

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 84% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Roosevelt County has experienced 7 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Roosevelt County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, drought, and hail, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 18% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (95th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Roosevelt County has been designated in 7 declarations since 1977, covering 5 disaster types including biological (2), fire (2), hurricane (1).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2011 Fire Tire Fire
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2000 Fire Severe Fire Threats
1998 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storm
1977 Drought Drought

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively High 98.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 83.7 15 0 $2.9M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 25
Heat Wave Relatively Low 65.5 0 0
Tornado Relatively Low 53.5 11 0 $2.1M
Hurricane Very Low 32.2 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 89.9 61 0 $1.1M
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 76.3 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 83 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 27.4
Cold Wave Relatively Low 26.6
Lightning Relatively Low 38.7 0 0
Drought Relatively High 97 0 0
Landslide Very Low 7.5 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Very Low 38.1

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Roosevelt County ranks in the 95th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 95th High
Socioeconomic status 92nd High
Household characteristics 87th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 87th High
Housing type & transportation 91st High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 99th Very High
Risk to homes 98th Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 54.6%

NOAA tracked 87 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 40 in 2016–20 vs 47 in 2021–25 (+18% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Roosevelt County with other counties → All New Mexico counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Roosevelt County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Roosevelt County, New Mexico are wildfire, drought, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Roosevelt County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Roosevelt County has received 7 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).

Has Roosevelt County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Roosevelt County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Roosevelt County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Parmer County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and De Baca County, NM has the lowest (Very Low). Roosevelt County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Roosevelt County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Roosevelt County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Roosevelt County's composite score of 84 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 84% of US counties.

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