Matagorda County, TX

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 36,214 · Cities: Bay City

Relatively Low Riskier than 80% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Matagorda County has experienced 29 federally declared disasters since 1967, most recently Hurricane Beryl in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Matagorda County's highest-rated hazards are hurricane, drought, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 22 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (98th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Matagorda County has been designated in 29 declarations since 1967, covering 7 disaster types including hurricane (14), flood (5), fire (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Beryl
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Hurricane Tropical Storms Marco And Laura
2020 Hurricane Hurricane Hanna
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2017 Hurricane Hurricane Harvey
2011 Fire Wildfires
2008 Hurricane Hurricane Ike

Showing the 10 most recent of 29 total declarations since 1967.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Low 73.7 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 59.4 9 0 $10K
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate 68 5 0
Earthquake Very Low 20.4
Heat Wave Relatively Low 74.3 3 0
Tornado Relatively Low 59.7 3 0 $1.4M
Hurricane Relatively High 95.6 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 40.6 2 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 19.9 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 5.7 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 52.2
Cold Wave Relatively Low 61.5
Lightning Relatively Moderate 64.2 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 90.5 0 0
Landslide Very Low 12.9 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Matagorda County ranks in the 98th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 98th High
Socioeconomic status 97th High
Household characteristics 98th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 91st High
Housing type & transportation 73rd Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 81st Very High
Risk to homes 78th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 50.8%

NOAA tracked 22 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 11 in 2016–20 vs 11 in 2021–25 (0% — relatively stable).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Matagorda County with other counties → All Texas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Matagorda County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Matagorda County, Texas are hurricane, drought, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Matagorda County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Matagorda County has received 29 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (14 declarations).

Has Matagorda County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Matagorda County include Hurricane Beryl (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1967.

How does Matagorda County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Fort Bend County, TX has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Calhoun County, TX has the lowest (Relatively Low). Matagorda County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Matagorda County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Matagorda County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Matagorda County's composite score of 80 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 80% of US counties.

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