Kentucky cold wave risk

120 counties scored 0 rated Very High

Fayette County has the highest cold wave risk in Kentucky, scoring 96.9 out of 100 — rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

# County NRI score Rating
1 Fayette County 96.9 Relatively High
2 Knox County 96.2 Relatively High
3 Jefferson County 94.8 Relatively High
4 Boone County 91.5 Relatively High
5 Wayne County 90.9 Relatively High
6 Laurel County 88.8 Relatively Moderate
7 Pulaski County 88.7 Relatively Moderate
8 Kenton County 86.4 Relatively Moderate
9 Logan County 85.8 Relatively Moderate
10 McCracken County 85.7 Relatively Moderate
11 Madison County 83.7 Relatively Moderate
12 Bullitt County 80 Relatively Moderate
13 Warren County 79 Relatively Moderate
14 Calloway County 78.8 Relatively Moderate
15 Hardin County 78.8 Relatively Moderate
16 Graves County 76.9 Relatively Moderate
17 Whitley County 74.7 Relatively Moderate
18 Bell County 73.2 Relatively Moderate
19 Barren County 72.6 Relatively Moderate
20 Campbell County 71.2 Relatively Moderate
21 Clay County 69.5 Relatively Moderate
22 Daviess County 68.3 Relatively Moderate
23 McCreary County 67 Relatively Moderate
24 Russell County 65.6 Relatively Moderate
25 Harlan County 65.4 Relatively Low
26 Christian County 64.9 Relatively Low
27 Adair County 64.8 Relatively Low
28 Marshall County 63.5 Relatively Low
29 Nelson County 63.1 Relatively Low
30 Muhlenberg County 60.8 Relatively Low
31 Casey County 59.8 Relatively Low
32 Shelby County 59.4 Relatively Low
33 Lincoln County 58 Relatively Low
34 Taylor County 56.3 Relatively Low
35 Rockcastle County 54.8 Relatively Low
36 Oldham County 54.2 Relatively Low
37 Scott County 53.3 Relatively Low
38 Perry County 52.8 Relatively Low
39 Jessamine County 52.4 Relatively Low
40 Letcher County 52.1 Relatively Low
41 Franklin County 51.7 Relatively Low
42 Allen County 51.6 Relatively Low
43 Clinton County 51.6 Relatively Low
44 Monroe County 51.3 Relatively Low
45 Meade County 50.3 Relatively Low
46 Hopkins County 50.1 Relatively Low
47 Ohio County 50.1 Relatively Low
48 Boyle County 49.8 Relatively Low
49 Grayson County 49.3 Relatively Low
50 Hart County 49.2 Relatively Low
51 Garrard County 48.2 Relatively Low
52 Pike County 47.5 Relatively Low
53 Todd County 46.9 Relatively Low
54 Metcalfe County 46.8 Relatively Low
55 Marion County 46.7 Relatively Low
56 Trigg County 46.2 Relatively Low
57 Woodford County 45.5 Relatively Low
58 Floyd County 44.8 Relatively Low
59 Simpson County 44.7 Relatively Low
60 Clark County 44.2 Relatively Low
61 Henderson County 43.8 Relatively Low
62 Cumberland County 43.5 Relatively Low
63 Jackson County 42.2 Relatively Low
64 Mercer County 41.6 Relatively Low
65 Ballard County 41.1 Relatively Low
66 Bourbon County 41 Relatively Low
67 Estill County 40.7 Relatively Low
68 Breathitt County 40.2 Relatively Low
69 Leslie County 39.2 Relatively Low
70 Breckinridge County 38 Relatively Low
71 Grant County 37.7 Relatively Low
72 Fulton County 37.2 Relatively Low
73 Knott County 36.8 Relatively Low
74 Montgomery County 36.7 Relatively Low
75 Caldwell County 36.6 Relatively Low
76 Johnson County 36.5 Relatively Low
77 Crittenden County 35.9 Relatively Low
78 Green County 34.7 Relatively Low
79 Carlisle County 34.5 Relatively Low
80 Lyon County 34.5 Relatively Low
81 Hickman County 34.2 Relatively Low
82 Powell County 33.7 Relatively Low
83 Anderson County 33.6 Relatively Low
84 Martin County 33.1 Relatively Low
85 Livingston County 32.7 Relatively Low
86 Webster County 31.6 Relatively Low
87 Union County 30.6 Relatively Low
88 Larue County 30.3 Relatively Low
89 Pendleton County 29 Relatively Low
90 Lee County 28.1 Relatively Low
91 Washington County 27.8 Relatively Low
92 Henry County 27.4 Relatively Low
93 Spencer County 27.1 Relatively Low
94 Harrison County 26.4 Relatively Low
95 Wolfe County 26.2 Relatively Low
96 Gallatin County 24.7 Relatively Low
97 McLean County 23.6 Very Low
98 Carroll County 23.5 Very Low
99 Rowan County 23.3 Very Low
100 Boyd County 21.9 Very Low
101 Butler County 21.6 Very Low
102 Edmonson County 21.3 Very Low
103 Fleming County 21.2 Very Low
104 Owen County 21.1 Very Low
105 Mason County 20.5 Very Low
106 Owsley County 20 Very Low
107 Carter County 19.7 Very Low
108 Morgan County 19.7 Very Low
109 Hancock County 19.4 Very Low
110 Nicholas County 19.2 Very Low
111 Bath County 19.1 Very Low
112 Magoffin County 18.6 Very Low
113 Greenup County 18.4 Very Low
114 Trimble County 18.3 Very Low
115 Bracken County 15.8 Very Low
116 Lewis County 15.2 Very Low
117 Elliott County 14.7 Very Low
118 Lawrence County 13.4 Very Low
119 Menifee County 12.6 Very Low
120 Robertson County 11.4 Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.

Cold Wave risk nationally:

Other hazard risks in Kentucky:

Frequently asked questions

What is the highest cold wave risk county in Kentucky?

Fayette County, KY has the highest cold wave risk in Kentucky, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.9 out of 100 (rated "Relatively High").

What causes cold wave risk in Kentucky?

Cold wave risk captures expected losses from extended periods of extreme cold, including wind chill. The northern Plains, Great Lakes, and interior New England see the most severe and frequent cold events. Cold extremes cause significant excess mortality, especially among unhoused populations, the elderly, and those with inadequate heating or insulation. Cold and wind chill events are reported at forecast-zone level in NOAA Storm Events and are not included in county-level counts.