Graves County, KY
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Graves County has experienced 22 federally declared disasters since 1975, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Graves County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, ice storm, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 117 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Graves County has been designated in 22 declarations since 1975, covering 8 disaster types including severe storm (9), flood (4), tornado (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Landslides |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2022 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Tornadoes |
| 2022 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Tornadoes |
| 2021 | Flood | Severe, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
Showing the 10 most recent of 22 total declarations since 1975.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 26.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 56.8 | 32 | 1 | $3.4M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 96.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 75.2 | 43 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 70.6 | 18 | 24 | $6.3M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 48.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 60.3 | 23 | 0 | $10K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 91.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 84.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 94 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 76.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 74.1 | 1 | 0 | $10K |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 89 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 68.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Graves County ranks in the 55th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 55th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 54th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 52nd | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 43rd | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 58th | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 23rd | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 22nd | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 73.7% | — |
NOAA tracked 117 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 59 in 2016–20 vs 58 in 2021–25 (-2% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Graves County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Graves County, Kentucky are earthquake, ice storm, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Graves County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Graves County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (9 declarations).
Has Graves County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Graves County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Landslides (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And Mudslides (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1975.
How does Graves County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, McCracken County, KY has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Carlisle County, KY has the lowest (Very Low). Graves County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Graves County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Graves County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Graves County's composite score of 84 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 84% of US counties.