Spencer County, KY

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 19,456

Very Low Riskier than 13% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Spencer County has experienced 29 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Spencer County's highest-rated hazards are tornado, strong wind, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 27% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (4th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Spencer County has been designated in 29 declarations since 1974, covering 8 disaster types including severe storm (15), tornado (4), flood (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Landslides
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
2022 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2022 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic

Showing the 10 most recent of 29 total declarations since 1974.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 9.1 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 22.6 15 1 $100K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 39.2
Heat Wave Very Low 21.4 0 0
Tornado Relatively Low 56.7 4 0
Hurricane Very Low 7.8 0 0
Hail Very Low 10.5 6 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 49 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 26.3 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 31.8
Cold Wave Relatively Low 27.1
Lightning Relatively Low 35.6 0 0
Drought Very Low 20.7 0 0
Landslide Very Low 39.9 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Spencer County ranks in the 4th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 4th Very low
Socioeconomic status 14th Very low
Household characteristics 7th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 13th Very low
Housing type & transportation 3rd Very low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 18th Very Low
Risk to homes 16th Very Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 94.2%

NOAA tracked 25 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 11 in 2016–20 vs 14 in 2021–25 (+27% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Spencer County with other counties → All Kentucky counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Spencer County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Spencer County, Kentucky are tornado, strong wind, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Spencer County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Spencer County has received 29 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (15 declarations).

Has Spencer County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Spencer County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And Landslides (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.

How does Spencer County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Jefferson County, KY has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Washington County, KY has the lowest (Very Low). Spencer County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Spencer County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Spencer County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Spencer County's composite score of 13 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 13% of US counties.

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