Minnesota wildfire risk
Roseau County has the highest wildfire risk in Minnesota, scoring 91 out of 100 — rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index.
| # | County | NRI score | Rating |
NOAA events 2016–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roseau County | 91 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 2 | Marshall County | 85.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 3 | Polk County | 83.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 4 | Beltrami County | 82.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 5 | Pennington County | 82.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 6 | St. Louis County | 81.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 7 | Anoka County | 81.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 8 | Cook County | 79.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 9 | Otter Tail County | 79.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 10 | Morrison County | 78 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 11 | Becker County | 77.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 12 | Sherburne County | 76.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 13 | Stearns County | 76.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 14 | Crow Wing County | 76.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 15 | Hennepin County | 74.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 16 | Kittson County | 74.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 17 | Todd County | 71.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 18 | Benton County | 67.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 19 | Hubbard County | 66.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 20 | Clay County | 66 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 21 | Mille Lacs County | 65.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 22 | Pine County | 65.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 23 | Wadena County | 65.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 24 | Chisago County | 65.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 25 | Clearwater County | 65.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 26 | Isanti County | 65 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 27 | Washington County | 64 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 28 | Kanabec County | 63.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 29 | Cass County | 63.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 30 | Lake County | 62.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 31 | Wright County | 61 | Very Low | 0 |
| 32 | Mahnomen County | 58.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 33 | Aitkin County | 57.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 34 | Lake of the Woods County | 55.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 35 | Ramsey County | 52.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 36 | Scott County | 52 | Very Low | 0 |
| 37 | Douglas County | 50.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 38 | Kandiyohi County | 50 | Very Low | 0 |
| 39 | Red Lake County | 48.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 40 | Norman County | 47 | Very Low | 0 |
| 41 | Swift County | 46.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 42 | Itasca County | 44.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 43 | Carlton County | 41 | Very Low | 0 |
| 44 | Dakota County | 39.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 45 | Carver County | 39.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 46 | Pope County | 36.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 47 | Chippewa County | 34.7 | Very Low | 0 |
| 48 | Koochiching County | 33.9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 49 | Rice County | 33 | Very Low | 0 |
| 50 | Cottonwood County | 32.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 51 | Jackson County | 32.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 52 | Lincoln County | 32.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 53 | Big Stone County | 32 | Very Low | 0 |
| 54 | Blue Earth County | 31.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 55 | Lac qui Parle County | 29.7 | Very Low | 0 |
| 56 | Meeker County | 26 | Very Low | 0 |
| 57 | Yellow Medicine County | 25.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 58 | Freeborn County | 24.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 59 | Brown County | 24.1 | Very Low | 0 |
| 60 | McLeod County | 22.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 61 | Murray County | 20.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 62 | Stevens County | 20.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 63 | Olmsted County | 20.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 64 | Nobles County | 20 | Very Low | 0 |
| 65 | Wilkin County | 19.9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 66 | Pipestone County | 19.1 | Very Low | 0 |
| 67 | Mower County | 18.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 68 | Redwood County | 18.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 69 | Martin County | 18 | Very Low | 0 |
| 70 | Lyon County | 17.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 71 | Nicollet County | 17.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 72 | Winona County | 16.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 73 | Le Sueur County | 16.1 | Very Low | 0 |
| 74 | Traverse County | 15.9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 75 | Renville County | 15.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 76 | Waseca County | 15.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 77 | Grant County | 14.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 78 | Sibley County | 13.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 79 | Wabasha County | 13.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 80 | Fillmore County | 10.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 81 | Steele County | 10.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 82 | Faribault County | 9.6 | Very Low | 0 |
| 83 | Watonwan County | 9.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 84 | Goodhue County | 9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 85 | Houston County | 8.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 86 | Rock County | 7.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 87 | Dodge County | 4.5 | Very Low | 0 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.
Wildfire risk nationally:
Other hazard risks in Minnesota:
Frequently asked questions
What is the highest wildfire risk county in Minnesota?
Roseau County, MN has the highest wildfire risk in Minnesota, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 91 out of 100 (rated "Relatively Moderate").
What causes wildfire risk in Minnesota?
Wildfire risk reflects expected annual losses to buildings, population, and agriculture from wildfire, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. High scores cluster in the western US, where dry climate, fuel loads, and seasonal wind patterns combine with rapid suburban development into fire-prone terrain.