Washington County, MN
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Washington County has experienced 17 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Washington County's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hail, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 82% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (5th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Washington County has been designated in 17 declarations since 1965, covering 7 disaster types including flood (8), severe storm (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2011 | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2010 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2001 | Flood | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes |
| 2001 | Fire | Mn - Carlos Edge Fire Complex - 10/19/2000 |
| 1998 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 1997 | Flood | Severe Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms |
Showing the 10 most recent of 17 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 83.5 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 13.3 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 80.3 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 94.4 | 5 | 0 | $1.6M |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively High | 94.8 | 79 | 0 | $250K |
| Strong Wind | Very High | 98.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 76.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 65.5 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 87.5 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 88.4 | 2 | 0 | $450K |
| Drought | Very Low | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 72.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Washington County ranks in the 5th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5th | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 1st | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 19th | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 53rd | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 13th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 29th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 30th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 38.4% | — |
NOAA tracked 93 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 33 in 2016–20 vs 60 in 2021–25 (+82% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Washington County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Washington County, Minnesota are strong wind, hail, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Washington County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Washington County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (8 declarations).
Has Washington County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Washington County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Washington County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Hennepin County, MN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Pierce County, WI has the lowest (Very Low). Washington County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Washington County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Washington County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Washington County's composite score of 84 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 84% of US counties.