Ramsey County, MN

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 552,246 · Cities: St. Paul , Maplewood , Roseville , Shoreview , White Bear Lake , New Brighton , Vadnais Heights , Mounds View , North St. Paul

Relatively High Riskier than 95% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Ramsey County has experienced 19 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Ramsey County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, hail, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 132% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (71st percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Ramsey County has been designated in 19 declarations since 1965, covering 6 disaster types including flood (9), severe storm (5), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Flood Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2014 Flood Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
2011 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2010 Flood Flooding
2010 Flood Flooding
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2001 Flood Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2000 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 19 total declarations since 1965.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 52.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 93.8 4 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 28.9
Heat Wave Relatively High 98.2 6 0
Tornado Relatively High 98.7 1 0 $750K
Hurricane Not Applicable 0 0
Hail Relatively High 99 62 0
Strong Wind Relatively High 90.8 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 92.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate 65.3
Cold Wave Very High 99.1
Lightning Relatively Moderate 73.1 0 0
Drought Very Low 12.8 0 0
Landslide Relatively High 98.5 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Ramsey County ranks in the 71st percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 71st Moderate
Socioeconomic status 43rd Low
Household characteristics 53rd Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 79th High
Housing type & transportation 95th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 26th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 29th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 9.7%

NOAA tracked 73 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 22 in 2016–20 vs 51 in 2021–25 (+132% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Ramsey County with other counties → All Minnesota counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Ramsey County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Ramsey County, Minnesota are cold wave, hail, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Ramsey County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Ramsey County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (9 declarations).

Has Ramsey County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Ramsey County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Ramsey County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Hennepin County, MN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and St. Croix County, WI has the lowest (Relatively Low). Ramsey County is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Ramsey County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Ramsey County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Ramsey County's composite score of 95 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 95% of US counties.

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