Todd County, MN
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Todd County has experienced 13 federally declared disasters since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2022. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Todd County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, strong wind, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 45 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Todd County has been designated in 13 declarations since 1965, covering 5 disaster types including flood (6), severe storm (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2022 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2014 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2001 | Flood | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes |
| 1997 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 1997 | Flood | Severe Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms |
| 1976 | Drought | Drought |
Showing the 10 most recent of 13 total declarations since 1965.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 71.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 56.2 | 1 | 0 | $400K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 36.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 39.9 | 8 | 0 | $35K |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 58.6 | 36 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 61.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 32.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 36.5 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 47.8 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 55.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 51.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Todd County ranks in the 59th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 59th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 40th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 78th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 36th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 73rd | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 44th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 47th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 70.1% | — |
NOAA tracked 45 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 24 in 2016–20 vs 21 in 2021–25 (-12% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Todd County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Todd County, Minnesota are wildfire, strong wind, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Todd County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Todd County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including declarations in 2022. The most common disaster type on record is flood (6 declarations).
Has Todd County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Todd County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2022.
How does Todd County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Stearns County, MN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Wadena County, MN has the lowest (Very Low). Todd County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Todd County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Todd County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Todd County's composite score of 38 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 38% of US counties.