North Carolina winter weather risk
Wayne County has the highest winter weather risk in North Carolina, scoring 98.5 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.
| # | County | NRI score | Rating |
NOAA events 2016–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wayne County | 98.5 | Very High | 0 |
| 2 | Onslow County | 98.4 | Very High | 0 |
| 3 | Pitt County | 98.4 | Very High | 0 |
| 4 | Johnston County | 98.2 | Very High | 0 |
| 5 | Craven County | 97.7 | Very High | 0 |
| 6 | Cumberland County | 97.5 | Very High | 0 |
| 7 | Nash County | 97 | Very High | 0 |
| 8 | New Hanover County | 96.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 9 | Edgecombe County | 96 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 10 | Guilford County | 96 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 11 | Wilson County | 96 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 12 | Lenoir County | 95.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 13 | Sampson County | 95 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 14 | Halifax County | 94.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 15 | Carteret County | 94.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 16 | Beaufort County | 94.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 17 | Duplin County | 94.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 18 | Robeson County | 93.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 19 | Brunswick County | 92.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 20 | Forsyth County | 91.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 21 | Dare County | 88.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 22 | Franklin County | 88.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 23 | Alamance County | 88.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 24 | Pender County | 87.9 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 25 | Randolph County | 86.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 26 | Orange County | 86.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 27 | Pasquotank County | 85.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 28 | Mecklenburg County | 85.4 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 29 | Wake County | 84.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 30 | Greene County | 84.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 31 | Columbus County | 83.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 32 | Harnett County | 83.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 33 | Durham County | 83.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 34 | Vance County | 82.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 35 | Hertford County | 82.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 36 | Davidson County | 80.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 37 | Martin County | 80.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 38 | Warren County | 78.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 39 | Bertie County | 77.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 40 | Granville County | 77.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 41 | Bladen County | 77.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 42 | Buncombe County | 77.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 43 | Northampton County | 74.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 44 | Pamlico County | 74.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 45 | Washington County | 73.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 46 | Union County | 73.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 47 | Cabarrus County | 72.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 48 | Jones County | 72.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 49 | Rockingham County | 71.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 50 | Rowan County | 69.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 51 | Hoke County | 68.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 52 | Person County | 67.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 53 | Scotland County | 67.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 54 | Currituck County | 66.8 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 55 | Chowan County | 64.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 56 | Perquimans County | 63.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 57 | Moore County | 63 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 58 | Haywood County | 62.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 59 | Richmond County | 61.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 60 | Catawba County | 60.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 61 | Iredell County | 59.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 62 | Surry County | 59.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 63 | Gaston County | 58.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 64 | Hyde County | 56.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 65 | Watauga County | 55.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 66 | Chatham County | 55 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 67 | Gates County | 53.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 68 | Lee County | 51.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 69 | Ashe County | 47 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 70 | Wilkes County | 45.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 71 | Stanly County | 44.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 72 | Caswell County | 43 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 73 | Stokes County | 42.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 74 | Tyrrell County | 42.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 75 | Jackson County | 42.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 76 | Henderson County | 41 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 77 | Lincoln County | 39.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 78 | Cleveland County | 38.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 79 | Camden County | 38.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 80 | Swain County | 36.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 81 | Burke County | 36.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 82 | Caldwell County | 36.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 83 | Yadkin County | 36.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 84 | Macon County | 34.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 85 | Davie County | 33.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 86 | Montgomery County | 33.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 87 | Yancey County | 32.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 88 | Avery County | 31.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 89 | Anson County | 31.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 90 | Cherokee County | 28.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 91 | Rutherford County | 27.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 92 | Alexander County | 26.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 93 | Madison County | 25.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 94 | Mitchell County | 22.9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 95 | McDowell County | 22.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 96 | Graham County | 19.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 97 | Alleghany County | 19.3 | Very Low | 0 |
| 98 | Transylvania County | 19.2 | Very Low | 0 |
| 99 | Polk County | 11.5 | Very Low | 0 |
| 100 | Clay County | 8.1 | Very Low | 0 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.
Winter Weather risk nationally:
Other hazard risks in North Carolina:
Frequently asked questions
What is the highest winter weather risk county in North Carolina?
Wayne County, NC has the highest winter weather risk in North Carolina, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 98.5 out of 100 (rated "Very High").
How many counties in North Carolina are rated Very High for winter weather risk?
7 of 100 scored North Carolina counties are rated "Very High" for winter weather risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.
What causes winter weather risk in North Carolina?
Winter weather risk captures expected losses from heavy snow, blizzards, and mixed precipitation. Highest scores appear in the Great Lakes snowbelt, northern Rockies, and interior Northeast, where lake-effect and orographic snowfall is frequent. Winter weather impacts transportation networks, utilities, agriculture, and population health.