Davidson County, NC

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 168,808 · Cities: Thomasville , Lexington

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 87% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Davidson County has experienced 29 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Davidson County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, inland flooding, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 57 storm events in the county over the past decade.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Davidson County has been designated in 29 declarations since 1977, covering 9 disaster types including hurricane (14), snowstorm (4), severe storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2024 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Debby
2024 Tropical Storm Hurricane Helene
2023 Hurricane Hurricane Ian
2021 Severe Storm Tropical Storm Eta
2020 Hurricane Hurricane Isaias
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Hurricane Tropical Storm Michael
2019 Hurricane Hurricane Dorian

Showing the 10 most recent of 29 total declarations since 1977.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 49.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 91.5 30 0 $1.6M
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 76.7
Heat Wave Relatively Low 64.5 0 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 86.9 2 0 $125K
Hurricane Relatively Moderate 84.2 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 76.7 24 0 $5K
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 83.5 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 80.5 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 95.4
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 84.9
Lightning Relatively Moderate 69.1 1 0
Drought Relatively Low 58.1 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 63.6 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Davidson County ranks in the 55th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 55th Moderate
Socioeconomic status 62nd Moderate
Household characteristics 68th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 56th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 28th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 38th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 35th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 77.8%

NOAA tracked 57 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 30 in 2016–20 vs 27 in 2021–25 (-10% — relatively stable).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Davidson County with other counties → All North Carolina counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Davidson County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Davidson County, North Carolina are ice storm, inland flooding, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Davidson County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Davidson County has received 29 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (14 declarations).

Has Davidson County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Davidson County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Tropical Storm Debby (2024), Hurricane Helene (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.

How does Davidson County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Guilford County, NC has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Davie County, NC has the lowest (Very Low). Davidson County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Davidson County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Davidson County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Davidson County's composite score of 87 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 87% of US counties.

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