North Carolina lightning risk
New Hanover County has the highest lightning risk in North Carolina, scoring 97.7 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA has recorded 109 lightning events across North Carolina over the past decade.
| # | County | NRI score | Rating |
NOAA events 2016–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Hanover County | 97.7 | Very High | 8 |
| 2 | Buncombe County | 96.6 | Very High | 0 |
| 3 | Mecklenburg County | 94.9 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 4 | Columbus County | 94.8 | Relatively High | 2 |
| 5 | Dare County | 94.7 | Relatively High | 2 |
| 6 | Guilford County | 94.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 7 | Jackson County | 94.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 8 | Cumberland County | 93.1 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 9 | Craven County | 92.5 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 10 | Brunswick County | 92.4 | Relatively High | 6 |
| 11 | Onslow County | 92.4 | Relatively High | 2 |
| 12 | Wake County | 91.7 | Relatively High | 8 |
| 13 | Henderson County | 90.9 | Relatively High | 3 |
| 14 | Gaston County | 90.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 15 | Durham County | 90.4 | Relatively High | 2 |
| 16 | Robeson County | 89.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 17 | Moore County | 88.1 | Relatively High | 4 |
| 18 | Burke County | 86.9 | Relatively High | 2 |
| 19 | Forsyth County | 86.8 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 20 | Pender County | 85.7 | Relatively High | 4 |
| 21 | Catawba County | 85.3 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 22 | Orange County | 85.3 | Relatively High | 3 |
| 23 | Johnston County | 85.1 | Relatively High | 7 |
| 24 | Union County | 84.7 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 25 | Mitchell County | 83.8 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 26 | Wayne County | 83.6 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 27 | Cabarrus County | 82.8 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 28 | Yancey County | 82.6 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 29 | Alamance County | 82.3 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 30 | Cleveland County | 82 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 31 | Pitt County | 81.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 32 | Carteret County | 79.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 33 | Rutherford County | 78.9 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 34 | Haywood County | 78.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 35 | Lee County | 78.5 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 36 | Harnett County | 78.3 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 37 | Lincoln County | 77.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 38 | Iredell County | 76.4 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 39 | Sampson County | 75.8 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 40 | Macon County | 75.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 41 | Pamlico County | 74.5 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 42 | Rockingham County | 74.5 | Relatively Moderate | 3 |
| 43 | Avery County | 72.6 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 44 | Beaufort County | 72.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 45 | Rowan County | 72.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 46 | Lenoir County | 72.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 47 | Caldwell County | 70.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 48 | Duplin County | 70.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 49 | Franklin County | 70.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 50 | Nash County | 70.1 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 51 | Madison County | 69.9 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 52 | Wilkes County | 69.3 | Relatively Moderate | 7 |
| 53 | Randolph County | 69.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 54 | Davidson County | 69.1 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 55 | McDowell County | 68.4 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 56 | Transylvania County | 67.8 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 57 | Polk County | 67.3 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 58 | Pasquotank County | 64.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 59 | Watauga County | 63.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 60 | Cherokee County | 62.4 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 61 | Wilson County | 62.1 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 62 | Bladen County | 61.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 63 | Chatham County | 58.6 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 64 | Currituck County | 58.4 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 65 | Scotland County | 57.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 66 | Richmond County | 57 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 67 | Alexander County | 56.6 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 68 | Hoke County | 55.9 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 69 | Halifax County | 55.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 70 | Vance County | 54.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 71 | Surry County | 54.1 | Relatively Low | 3 |
| 72 | Ashe County | 53.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 73 | Edgecombe County | 53.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 74 | Granville County | 52.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 75 | Stanly County | 49.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 76 | Clay County | 46.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 77 | Person County | 44.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 78 | Swain County | 43.6 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 79 | Greene County | 42.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 80 | Washington County | 42.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 81 | Bertie County | 41.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 82 | Anson County | 41 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 83 | Hertford County | 40.4 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 84 | Alleghany County | 39.1 | Relatively Low | 3 |
| 85 | Montgomery County | 38.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 86 | Jones County | 35.6 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 87 | Perquimans County | 35.1 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 88 | Martin County | 34.7 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 89 | Hyde County | 33.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 90 | Stokes County | 33.5 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 91 | Davie County | 33.3 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 92 | Caswell County | 32.5 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 93 | Warren County | 32.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 94 | Yadkin County | 32.2 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 95 | Chowan County | 32.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 96 | Northampton County | 29 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 97 | Gates County | 28.9 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 98 | Graham County | 27.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 99 | Tyrrell County | 26.1 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 100 | Camden County | 16.9 | Very Low | 2 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.
Lightning risk nationally:
Other hazard risks in North Carolina:
Frequently asked questions
What is the highest lightning risk county in North Carolina?
New Hanover County, NC has the highest lightning risk in North Carolina, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.7 out of 100 (rated "Very High").
How many counties in North Carolina are rated Very High for lightning risk?
2 of 100 scored North Carolina counties are rated "Very High" for lightning risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.
What causes lightning risk in North Carolina?
Lightning risk reflects expected annual losses from cloud-to-ground strikes, which ignite building fires, damage electrical systems, and cause fatalities. Florida consistently leads the US in lightning density. High scores also appear across the Gulf Coast, Southeast, and central Plains, where afternoon convective storms are most frequent in summer months.