New York tornado risk
Erie County has the highest tornado risk in New York, scoring 95.4 out of 100 — rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded tornado events across New York have increased 60% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
| # | County | NRI score | Rating |
NOAA events 2016–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erie County | 95.4 | Relatively High | 9 |
| 2 | Kings County | 94.2 | Relatively High | 0 |
| 3 | Queens County | 90.6 | Relatively High | 1 |
| 4 | New York County | 89.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 5 | Albany County | 88 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 6 | Ulster County | 87.6 | Relatively Moderate | 3 |
| 7 | Onondaga County | 87.3 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 8 | Monroe County | 87.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 9 | Bronx County | 85.2 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 10 | Broome County | 83.6 | Relatively Moderate | 3 |
| 11 | Richmond County | 83.4 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 12 | Orange County | 81.9 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 13 | Rockland County | 77.5 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 14 | Rensselaer County | 76.6 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 15 | Nassau County | 76.2 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 16 | Chautauqua County | 76.1 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 17 | Suffolk County | 74.7 | Relatively Moderate | 10 |
| 18 | Westchester County | 72.7 | Relatively Moderate | 1 |
| 19 | Oneida County | 71.9 | Relatively Moderate | 11 |
| 20 | Sullivan County | 71.3 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 21 | Schenectady County | 70.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 22 | Saratoga County | 69.9 | Relatively Moderate | 5 |
| 23 | Columbia County | 68.7 | Relatively Moderate | 0 |
| 24 | Cattaraugus County | 68.4 | Relatively Moderate | 2 |
| 25 | Dutchess County | 63.3 | Relatively Low | 5 |
| 26 | Tompkins County | 59 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 27 | Steuben County | 58.1 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 28 | Delaware County | 55.6 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 29 | Greene County | 54.5 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 30 | Chemung County | 52.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 31 | Niagara County | 52.4 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 32 | Chenango County | 46.4 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 33 | Otsego County | 46.3 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 34 | Ontario County | 44 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 35 | Tioga County | 43.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 36 | Washington County | 43.7 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 37 | Oswego County | 43.1 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 38 | Madison County | 41.9 | Relatively Low | 4 |
| 39 | Montgomery County | 41.7 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 40 | Allegany County | 41.5 | Relatively Low | 3 |
| 41 | Fulton County | 40 | Relatively Low | 3 |
| 42 | Livingston County | 39.8 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 43 | Cayuga County | 39.2 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 44 | Warren County | 39 | Relatively Low | 4 |
| 45 | Herkimer County | 38.6 | Relatively Low | 4 |
| 46 | Wayne County | 38.3 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 47 | Cortland County | 37.4 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 48 | Schoharie County | 33 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 49 | Seneca County | 30.8 | Relatively Low | 0 |
| 50 | Putnam County | 29.8 | Relatively Low | 2 |
| 51 | Yates County | 29.7 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 52 | Genesee County | 29.5 | Relatively Low | 4 |
| 53 | Wyoming County | 29.2 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 54 | Jefferson County | 27.9 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 55 | Clinton County | 26.3 | Relatively Low | 1 |
| 56 | St. Lawrence County | 24.2 | Very Low | 1 |
| 57 | Essex County | 23.8 | Very Low | 0 |
| 58 | Orleans County | 22.4 | Very Low | 0 |
| 59 | Schuyler County | 22.1 | Very Low | 0 |
| 60 | Franklin County | 18.9 | Very Low | 0 |
| 61 | Lewis County | 17.2 | Very Low | 3 |
| 62 | Hamilton County | 11.2 | Very Low | 3 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.
Tornado risk nationally:
Other hazard risks in New York:
Frequently asked questions
What is the highest tornado risk county in New York?
Erie County, NY has the highest tornado risk in New York, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 95.4 out of 100 (rated "Relatively High").
What causes tornado risk in New York?
Tornado risk concentrates in the central and southern plains ("Tornado Alley") and the Southeast ("Dixie Alley"), where atmospheric conditions favor supercell thunderstorm development. The highest scores often belong to counties with significant mobile home and manufactured housing stock, which carries disproportionate tornado mortality risk.