Monroe County, NY
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Monroe County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1972, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Monroe County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, inland flooding, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 38% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Monroe County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1972, covering 8 disaster types including flood (4), snowstorm (4), severe storm (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2013 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2005 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2003 | Other | Power Outage |
| 2003 | Severe Ice Storm | Ice Storm |
| 2001 | Other | West Nile Virus |
Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1972.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 47.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively High | 96.7 | 37 | 0 | $3.7M |
| Coastal Flooding | Very Low | 39 | 8 | 0 | $2.0M |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 84.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 94.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 87.2 | 1 | 0 | $10K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 68.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 32.5 | 19 | 0 | $5K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 79.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | 95.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | 89 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | 98 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 77.5 | 3 | 0 | $50K |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 56.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 35.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Insufficient Data | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Monroe County ranks in the 59th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 59th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 41st | Low |
| Household characteristics | 61st | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 68th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 72nd | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 5th | Very Low |
| Risk to homes | 4th | Very Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 39.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 68 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 42 in 2016–20 vs 26 in 2021–25 (-38% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Monroe County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Monroe County, New York are cold wave, inland flooding, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Monroe County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Monroe County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (4 declarations).
Has Monroe County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Monroe County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Monroe County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Ontario County, NY has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Orleans County, NY has the lowest (Very Low). Monroe County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Monroe County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Monroe County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Monroe County's composite score of 94 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 94% of US counties.