Michigan tornado risk

83 counties scored 3 rated Very High

Oakland County has the highest tornado risk in Michigan, scoring 99.7 out of 100 — rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded tornado events across Michigan have increased 77% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

# County NRI score Rating NOAA events
2016–2026
1 Oakland County 99.7 Very High 4
2 Wayne County 99.5 Very High 8
3 Macomb County 99.3 Very High 2
4 Genesee County 98.5 Relatively High 6
5 Kent County 97.8 Relatively High 12
6 Washtenaw County 96.9 Relatively High 0
7 Ingham County 96.2 Relatively High 3
8 Kalamazoo County 93.7 Relatively High 2
9 Jackson County 93.6 Relatively High 3
10 Saginaw County 93.3 Relatively High 2
11 Livingston County 91.5 Relatively High 3
12 Monroe County 89.2 Relatively Moderate 8
13 Calhoun County 88.3 Relatively Moderate 3
14 Ottawa County 87.7 Relatively Moderate 4
15 St. Clair County 87.2 Relatively Moderate 1
16 Eaton County 86.5 Relatively Moderate 1
17 Shiawassee County 86.2 Relatively Moderate 5
18 Lapeer County 84.5 Relatively Moderate 0
19 Lenawee County 84.4 Relatively Moderate 1
20 Bay County 84 Relatively Moderate 1
21 Berrien County 83.4 Relatively Moderate 1
22 Muskegon County 80.4 Relatively Moderate 0
23 Midland County 80.3 Relatively Moderate 0
24 Isabella County 80.2 Relatively Moderate 0
25 Hillsdale County 78.5 Relatively Moderate 2
26 Ionia County 77.5 Relatively Moderate 6
27 Van Buren County 77 Relatively Moderate 0
28 Clinton County 76.9 Relatively Moderate 1
29 Montcalm County 76.5 Relatively Moderate 0
30 Allegan County 76.3 Relatively Moderate 7
31 Tuscola County 74.4 Relatively Moderate 4
32 Branch County 74.2 Relatively Moderate 6
33 Gratiot County 73 Relatively Moderate 1
34 Barry County 72.1 Relatively Moderate 3
35 Cass County 64.5 Relatively Low 7
36 St. Joseph County 63.5 Relatively Low 6
37 Sanilac County 63 Relatively Low 4
38 Mecosta County 62.8 Relatively Low 2
39 Clare County 58 Relatively Low 2
40 Huron County 52.8 Relatively Low 3
41 Gladwin County 49 Relatively Low 1
42 Roscommon County 47.1 Relatively Low 1
43 Newaygo County 45.4 Relatively Low 1
44 Grand Traverse County 43 Relatively Low 1
45 Iosco County 36.7 Relatively Low 0
46 Osceola County 36.5 Relatively Low 0
47 Ogemaw County 36.2 Relatively Low 2
48 Wexford County 32.1 Relatively Low 0
49 Arenac County 31.9 Relatively Low 2
50 Menominee County 31.4 Relatively Low 1
51 Oceana County 30.9 Relatively Low 0
52 Emmet County 28.1 Relatively Low 0
53 Otsego County 27.9 Relatively Low 1
54 Kalkaska County 27.7 Relatively Low 0
55 Antrim County 26.8 Relatively Low 5
56 Crawford County 26.3 Relatively Low 1
57 Cheboygan County 25.8 Very Low 0
58 Dickinson County 25.8 Very Low 0
59 Mason County 25.2 Very Low 0
60 Missaukee County 25.2 Very Low 0
61 Alpena County 24.9 Very Low 0
62 Delta County 24.2 Very Low 1
63 Lake County 23.7 Very Low 2
64 Oscoda County 22.7 Very Low 0
65 Marquette County 21.5 Very Low 2
66 Montmorency County 21 Very Low 0
67 Alcona County 20.7 Very Low 0
68 Charlevoix County 20.7 Very Low 0
69 Manistee County 20.4 Very Low 0
70 Presque Isle County 20.1 Very Low 0
71 Leelanau County 19.1 Very Low 0
72 Gogebic County 19 Very Low 2
73 Iron County 17.7 Very Low 2
74 Benzie County 17.3 Very Low 0
75 Mackinac County 9.3 Very Low 0
76 Alger County 9.1 Very Low 0
77 Schoolcraft County 8 Very Low 0
78 Ontonagon County 7.5 Very Low 0
79 Chippewa County 7.3 Very Low 1
80 Baraga County 6.3 Very Low 0
81 Houghton County 6.2 Very Low 0
82 Luce County 3.7 Very Low 1
83 Keweenaw County 1.8 Very Low 0

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. Scores are 0–100 percentile rankings among all US counties. See the methodology page for definitions. Download the full CSV for all counties.

Tornado risk nationally:

Other hazard risks in Michigan:

Frequently asked questions

What is the highest tornado risk county in Michigan?

Oakland County, MI has the highest tornado risk in Michigan, with a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.7 out of 100 (rated "Very High").

How many counties in Michigan are rated Very High for tornado risk?

3 of 83 scored Michigan counties are rated "Very High" for tornado risk by FEMA's National Risk Index.

What causes tornado risk in Michigan?

Tornado risk concentrates in the central and southern plains ("Tornado Alley") and the Southeast ("Dixie Alley"), where atmospheric conditions favor supercell thunderstorm development. The highest scores often belong to counties with significant mobile home and manufactured housing stock, which carries disproportionate tornado mortality risk.