Macomb County, MI

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 880,347 · Cities: Warren , Sterling Heights , St. Clair Shores , Roseville , Eastpointe , Mount Clemens , Fraser , New Baltimore

Relatively High Riskier than 97% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Macomb County has experienced 18 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Macomb County's highest-rated hazards are tornado, cold wave, and strong wind, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 59% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Macomb County has been designated in 18 declarations since 1973, covering 6 disaster types including flood (6), severe storm (5), snowstorm (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Flood Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2021 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2014 Flood Severe Storms And Flooding
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2004 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2003 Other Power Outage
2001 Snowstorm Snow
1999 Snowstorm Mi - Severe Weather 1/2 /99

Showing the 10 most recent of 18 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 41.7 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 97.5 25 0 $5.5M
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low 46.6 10 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 83.6 1
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 94.5 2 0
Tornado Very High 99.3 2 0 $4.5M
Hurricane Very Low 49.9 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 90.6 27 0
Strong Wind Very High 98.6 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 88.4 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 98.2
Cold Wave Very High 99
Lightning Relatively High 88.6 0 0
Drought No Rating 0 0 0
Landslide Very Low 36.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Macomb County ranks in the 41st percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 41st Low
Socioeconomic status 41st Low
Household characteristics 41st Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 59th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 34th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 6th Very Low
Risk to homes 5th Very Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 7.7%

NOAA tracked 65 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 46 in 2016–20 vs 19 in 2021–25 (-59% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Macomb County with other counties → All Michigan counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Macomb County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Macomb County, Michigan are tornado, cold wave, and strong wind. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Macomb County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Macomb County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is flood (6 declarations).

Has Macomb County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Macomb County include Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Macomb County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Wayne County, MI has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Lapeer County, MI has the lowest (Relatively Low). Macomb County is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Macomb County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Macomb County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Macomb County's composite score of 97 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 97% of US counties.

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