Manistee County, MI
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Manistee County has experienced 8 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Manistee County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, lightning, and cold wave, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 29% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Manistee County has been designated in 8 declarations since 1977, covering 6 disaster types including flood (2), biological (2), hurricane (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2008 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 1986 | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding |
| 1978 | Snowstorm | Blizzards & Snowstorms |
| 1977 | Drought | Drought |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 28.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 56.9 | 4 | 0 | $3.5M |
| Coastal Flooding | Very Low | 27.6 | 4 | 0 | $499K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 14.7 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 23.5 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 17.9 | 25 | 0 | $2.0M |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 34.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | 92.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 17.1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 64.1 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 75.8 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 63.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Insufficient Data | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Manistee County ranks in the 36th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 40th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 27th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 36th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 44th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 23rd | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 24th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 69.7% | — |
NOAA tracked 32 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 14 in 2016–20 vs 18 in 2021–25 (+29% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Manistee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Manistee County, Michigan are winter weather, lightning, and cold wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Manistee County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Manistee County has received 8 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is flood (2 declarations).
Has Manistee County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Manistee County include Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.
How does Manistee County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Grand Traverse County, MI has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Lake County, MI has the lowest (Very Low). Manistee County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Manistee County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Manistee County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Manistee County's composite score of 37 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 37% of US counties.