Rockingham County, VA
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Rockingham County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Rockingham County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, inland flooding, and hurricane, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 50% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (25th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Rockingham County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1972, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (5), flood (5), severe storm (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018 | Hurricane | Hurricane Florence |
| 2013 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sandy |
| 2012 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2011 | Fire | Coffman Fire |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003 | Hurricane | Hurricane Isabel |
Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1972.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 64.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 84.6 | 94 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 67 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 72.3 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 29.1 | 1 | 0 | $30K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 82.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 58.4 | 16 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 72.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 62.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 32 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 41.3 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 77.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 82.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 86.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 64.9 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Rockingham County ranks in the 25th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 23rd | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 27th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 39th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 38th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 56th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 57th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 72.8% | — |
NOAA tracked 117 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 78 in 2016–20 vs 39 in 2021–25 (-50% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Rockingham County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Rockingham County, Virginia are landslide, inland flooding, and hurricane. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Rockingham County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Rockingham County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (5 declarations).
Has Rockingham County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Rockingham County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storms And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1972.
How does Rockingham County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Augusta County, VA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Greene County, VA has the lowest (Very Low). Rockingham County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Rockingham County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Rockingham County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Rockingham County's composite score of 75 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 75% of US counties.