Le Flore County, OK
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Le Flore County has experienced 32 federally declared disasters since 1968, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2021. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Le Flore County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, wildfire, and drought, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 36% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (92nd percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Le Flore County has been designated in 32 declarations since 1968, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (12), severe ice storm (7), tornado (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2019 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2017 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2014 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2013 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 32 total declarations since 1968.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 96.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 84.3 | 41 | 1 | $145K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 67.2 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 92.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 88.2 | 15 | 0 | $465K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 55.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 65 | 85 | 0 | $725K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 74.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 75.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 96.9 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 56.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 77.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively High | 95.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 69.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Le Flore County ranks in the 92nd percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 92nd | High |
| Socioeconomic status | 89th | High |
| Household characteristics | 97th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 67th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 76th | High |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 94th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 89th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 79.9% | — |
NOAA tracked 141 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 86 in 2016–20 vs 55 in 2021–25 (-36% — frequency decreasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Le Flore County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Le Flore County, Oklahoma are ice storm, wildfire, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Le Flore County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Le Flore County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1968, including declarations in 2021. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (12 declarations).
Has Le Flore County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Le Flore County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Winter Storm in 2021.
How does Le Flore County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Sebastian County, AR has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Scott County, AR has the lowest (Very Low). Le Flore County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Le Flore County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Le Flore County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Le Flore County's composite score of 83 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 83% of US counties.