Henry County, TN

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 32,196

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 85% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Henry County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1975, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Henry County's highest-rated hazards are cold wave, earthquake, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 425% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Henry County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1975, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (12), winter storm (2), tornado (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornado
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Straight-Line Winds
2022 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1975.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 23.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 38.8 21 0 $348K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Moderate 94.9
Heat Wave Relatively Low 74.5 67 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 83.9 4 0 $4.7M
Hurricane Very Low 48.9 0 0
Hail Very Low 19.5 31 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 71.6 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 79.2 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 83.1
Cold Wave Relatively High 98.6
Lightning Relatively Moderate 77 2 0 $20K
Drought Relatively Moderate 65.7 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 78.2 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Henry County ranks in the 61st percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 61st Moderate
Socioeconomic status 63rd Moderate
Household characteristics 70th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 39th Low
Housing type & transportation 52nd Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 34th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 32nd Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 83.3%

NOAA tracked 125 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 20 in 2016–20 vs 105 in 2021–25 (+425% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Henry County with other counties → All Tennessee counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Henry County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Henry County, Tennessee are cold wave, earthquake, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

Has Henry County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Henry County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (12 declarations).

Has Henry County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Henry County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1975.

How does Henry County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Calloway County, KY has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Houston County, TN has the lowest (Very Low). Henry County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Henry County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Henry County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Henry County's composite score of 85 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 85% of US counties.

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