Decatur County, TN

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 11,430

Very Low Riskier than 38% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Decatur County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Decatur County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, cold wave, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 238% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Decatur County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1974, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (16), tornado (5), winter storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornado
2022 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2022 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2021 Tornado Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2020 Severe Storm Severe Storm And Straight-Line Winds

Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1974.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 13.3 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 33.5 6 0
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 83.4
Heat Wave Relatively Low 52.9 70 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 66.7 3 0 $350K
Hurricane Very Low 47 0 0
Hail Very Low 6.4 13 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 48.7 0 0
Winter Weather Very Low 13 0 0
Ice Storm Very Low 24.3
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 71.5
Lightning Relatively Low 38 0 0
Drought Very Low 29.3 0 0
Landslide Very Low 46.9 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Decatur County ranks in the 45th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 45th Low
Socioeconomic status 76th High
Household characteristics 13th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 25th Low
Housing type & transportation 35th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 43rd Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 40th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 88.5%

NOAA tracked 92 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 21 in 2016–20 vs 71 in 2021–25 (+238% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Decatur County with other counties → All Tennessee counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Decatur County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Decatur County, Tennessee are earthquake, cold wave, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Decatur County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Decatur County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (16 declarations).

Has Decatur County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Decatur County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.

How does Decatur County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Carroll County, TN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Perry County, TN has the lowest (Very Low). Decatur County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Decatur County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Decatur County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Decatur County's composite score of 38 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 38% of US counties.

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