Wayne County, IL

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 16,161

Very Low Riskier than 41% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Wayne County has experienced 8 federally declared disasters since 1989, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Wayne County's highest-rated hazards are earthquake, heat wave, and drought, with its top risk rated "Relatively Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 89 storm events in the county over the past decade.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Wayne County has been designated in 8 declarations since 1989, covering 4 disaster types including tornado (3), biological (2), severe storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2014 Tornado Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes
2011 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2002 Tornado Severe Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding
1990 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1989 Tornado Severe Storms & Tornadoes

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 1.5 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 35.4 40 0 $172K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 86.4 1
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 86.4 35 0
Tornado Relatively Low 46.9 3 0 $150K
Hurricane Very Low 36.5 0 0
Hail Very Low 28 11 0 $110K
Strong Wind Relatively Low 37.2 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 40.1 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 35.3
Cold Wave Relatively Low 46.5
Lightning Very Low 23.2 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 70.6 0 0
Landslide Very Low 55.5 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Wayne County ranks in the 48th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 48th Low
Socioeconomic status 48th Low
Household characteristics 65th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 2nd Very low
Housing type & transportation 58th Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 4th Very Low
Risk to homes 4th Very Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 49.7%

NOAA tracked 89 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 47 in 2016–20 vs 42 in 2021–25 (-11% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Wayne County with other counties → All Illinois counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Wayne County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Wayne County, Illinois are earthquake, heat wave, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Wayne County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Wayne County has received 8 federal disaster declarations since 1989, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is tornado (3 declarations).

Has Wayne County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Wayne County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.

How does Wayne County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Jefferson County, IL has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Edwards County, IL has the lowest (Very Low). Wayne County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Wayne County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Wayne County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Wayne County's composite score of 41 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 41% of US counties.

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