Wagoner County, OK
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Wagoner County has experienced 34 federally declared disasters since 1971, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Wagoner County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, and hail, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 113 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Wagoner County has been designated in 34 declarations since 1971, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (10), severe ice storm (8), flood (8).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2019 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2017 | Fire | 141st Fire |
| 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 34 total declarations since 1971.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 81.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 70.6 | 16 | 0 | $35K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 49.9 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 94 | 39 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 72 | 20 | 0 | $4.7M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 90.9 | 40 | 0 | $220K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | 31.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 77.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 98 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 75.5 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 68.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 89.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 55.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Wagoner County ranks in the 45th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 45th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 33rd | Low |
| Household characteristics | 79th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 68th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 25th | Low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 79th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 76th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 66.3% | — |
NOAA tracked 113 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 54 in 2016–20 vs 59 in 2021–25 (+9% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Wagoner County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Wagoner County, Oklahoma are ice storm, heat wave, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Wagoner County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Wagoner County has received 34 federal disaster declarations since 1971, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (10 declarations).
Has Wagoner County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Wagoner County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1971.
How does Wagoner County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Tulsa County, OK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Okmulgee County, OK has the lowest (Relatively Low). Wagoner County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Wagoner County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Wagoner County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Wagoner County's composite score of 73 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 73% of US counties.