Cherokee County, OK

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 47,015 · Cities: Tahlequah

Relatively Low Riskier than 77% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Cherokee County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2022. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Cherokee County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, wildfire, and heat wave, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 102 storm events in the county over the past decade. Community vulnerability is elevated (92nd percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Cherokee County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1974, covering 7 disaster types including severe storm (13), severe ice storm (7), flood (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2022 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2017 Tornado Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2017 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2016 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms And Flooding
2015 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1974.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Moderate 94.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Moderate 77.5 28 0 $25K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 60.3
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 93 16 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 81.6 19 0 $2.8M
Hurricane Very Low 32.2 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 66.6 39 0 $245K
Strong Wind Relatively Low 51.5 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 76.3 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 96.1
Cold Wave Relatively Low 61.5
Lightning Relatively High 83 0 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 88.5 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 65.3 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Cherokee County ranks in the 92nd percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 92nd High
Socioeconomic status 85th High
Household characteristics 72nd Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 89th High
Housing type & transportation 97th High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 94th Very High
Risk to homes 90th Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 83.8%

NOAA tracked 102 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 52 in 2016–20 vs 50 in 2021–25 (-4% — relatively stable).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Cherokee County with other counties → All Oklahoma counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Cherokee County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Cherokee County, Oklahoma are ice storm, wildfire, and heat wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Cherokee County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Cherokee County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2022. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (13 declarations).

Has Cherokee County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Cherokee County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2022.

How does Cherokee County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Delaware County, OK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Adair County, OK has the lowest (Relatively Low). Cherokee County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Cherokee County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Cherokee County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Cherokee County's composite score of 77 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 77% of US counties.

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