Trumbull County, OH
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Trumbull County has experienced 12 federally declared disasters since 1969, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Trumbull County's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hail, and tornado, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. NOAA records 47 storm events in the county over the past decade.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Trumbull County has been designated in 12 declarations since 1969, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (4), tornado (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2012 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2004 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding |
| 2003 | Tornado | Tornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, And High Winds |
| 2003 | Other | Power Outage |
| 1992 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding |
| 1990 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding |
| 1985 | Tornado | Severe Storms & Tornadoes |
Showing the 10 most recent of 12 total declarations since 1969.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 43.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 88.8 | 18 | 0 | $4.5M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 69.2 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 75.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 90.8 | 9 | 0 | $730K |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 69.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 93 | 20 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 96.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | 87.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 33.8 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 84.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Trumbull County ranks in the 55th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 55th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 56th | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 60th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 41st | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 52nd | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 22nd | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 22nd | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 48.8% | — |
NOAA tracked 47 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 24 in 2016–20 vs 23 in 2021–25 (-4% — relatively stable).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Trumbull County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Trumbull County, Ohio are strong wind, hail, and tornado. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.
Has Trumbull County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Trumbull County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (4 declarations).
Has Trumbull County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Trumbull County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Trumbull County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Mahoning County, OH has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Geauga County, OH has the lowest (Relatively Low). Trumbull County is rated Relatively Moderate overall.
How is Trumbull County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Trumbull County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Trumbull County's composite score of 85 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 85% of US counties.