Saguache County, CO
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Saguache County has experienced 9 federally declared disasters since 1970, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Saguache County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, avalanche, and drought, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Saguache County has been designated in 9 declarations since 1970, covering 6 disaster types including flood (3), biological (2), coastal storm (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2015 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides |
| 2005 | Coastal Storm | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003 | Snowstorm | Snow |
| 2002 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 1984 | Flood | Severe Storms, Mudslides, Landslides & Flooding |
| 1977 | Drought | Drought |
| 1970 | Flood | Heavy Rains & Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 64.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 17.5 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 37.1 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 8 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 19.4 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 5.7 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 27.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 76.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 83.7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 96.2 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | 84.8 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 12.1 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Saguache County ranks in the 66th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 66th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 88th | High |
| Household characteristics | 82nd | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 80th | High |
| Housing type & transportation | 7th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 47th | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk to homes | 56th | Relatively Moderate |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 72.3% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Saguache County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Saguache County, Colorado are landslide, avalanche, and drought. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Saguache County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Saguache County has received 9 federal disaster declarations since 1970, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is flood (3 declarations).
Has Saguache County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Saguache County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Saguache County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Fremont County, CO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Custer County, CO has the lowest (Very Low). Saguache County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Saguache County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Saguache County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Saguache County's composite score of 14 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 14% of US counties.