Roger Mills County, OK
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Roger Mills County has experienced 32 federally declared disasters since 1990, most recently 840 Road Fire in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Roger Mills County's highest-rated hazards are drought, wildfire, and ice storm, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 27% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (28th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Roger Mills County has been designated in 32 declarations since 1990, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (14), severe ice storm (10), fire (3).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fire | 840 Road Fire |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2018 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2017 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
Showing the 10 most recent of 32 total declarations since 1990.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 89.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 10.4 | 5 | 0 | $40K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 18.6 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 24.1 | 11 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 39.1 | 14 | 1 | $346K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 18 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 51.7 | 76 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 63.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 53 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 73.4 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 40.1 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Relatively High | 94.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 72 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Roger Mills County ranks in the 28th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28th | Low |
| Socioeconomic status | 47th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 77th | High |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 51st | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 1st | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 98th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 97th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 79.0% | — |
NOAA tracked 100 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 44 in 2016–20 vs 56 in 2021–25 (+27% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Roger Mills County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Roger Mills County, Oklahoma are drought, wildfire, and ice storm. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Roger Mills County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Roger Mills County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (14 declarations).
Has Roger Mills County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Roger Mills County include 840 Road Fire (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1990.
How does Roger Mills County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Custer County, OK has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Dewey County, OK has the lowest (Very Low). Roger Mills County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Roger Mills County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Roger Mills County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Roger Mills County's composite score of 23 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 23% of US counties.