Prince George County, VA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 42,930

Very Low Riskier than 14% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Prince George County has experienced 19 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Prince George County's highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, and earthquake, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 185% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Prince George County has been designated in 19 declarations since 1977, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (7), snowstorm (3), severe storm (3).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2018 Hurricane Hurricane Florence
2013 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy
2011 Hurricane Hurricane Irene
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2004 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding And Tornadoes Associated W Td Gaston
2003 Hurricane Hurricane Isabel

Showing the 10 most recent of 19 total declarations since 1977.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 24.2 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 17.9 38 0
Coastal Flooding Very Low 40 1 0
Earthquake Very Low 51.8
Heat Wave Relatively Low 44.1 2 0
Tornado Relatively Low 28 1 0 $30K
Hurricane Relatively Low 70 0 0
Hail Very Low 13.2 7 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 18.3 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 48.1 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Low 39.3
Cold Wave Very Low 23.4
Lightning Relatively Low 27.3 1 0 $10K
Drought Relatively Moderate 84.6 0 0
Landslide Very Low 25 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Prince George County ranks in the 38th percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 38th Low
Socioeconomic status 46th Low
Household characteristics 7th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 85th High
Housing type & transportation 42nd Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 35th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 34th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 76.9%

NOAA tracked 50 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 13 in 2016–20 vs 37 in 2021–25 (+185% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Prince George County with other counties → All Virginia counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Prince George County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Prince George County, Virginia are drought, hurricane, and earthquake. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Prince George County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Prince George County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (7 declarations).

Has Prince George County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Prince George County include Severe Winter Storm (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.

How does Prince George County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Henrico County, VA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Colonial Heights, VA has the lowest (Very Low). Prince George County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Prince George County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Prince George County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Prince George County's composite score of 14 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 14% of US counties.

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