Pickett County, TN

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 4,999

Very Low Riskier than 5% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Pickett County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Pickett County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, cold wave, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Very Low" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Pickett County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1974, covering 9 disaster types including severe storm (10), winter storm (2), severe ice storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2023 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornado
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2015 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm And Flooding
2011 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated Flooding
2011 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1974.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 12.1 0 0
Inland Flooding Very Low 9.2 2 0 $25K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 34.1
Heat Wave Very Low 8.3 0 0
Tornado Very Low 25.7 1 0 $20K
Hurricane Very Low 35.6 0 0
Hail Very Low 26.8 7 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 25.7 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Low 38.8 0 0
Ice Storm Very Low 19.6
Cold Wave Relatively Low 39.4
Lightning Relatively Low 32.8 0 0
Drought Very Low 18.9 0 0
Landslide Very Low 48.3 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Pickett County ranks in the 33rd percentile (Low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 33rd Low
Socioeconomic status 59th Moderate
Household characteristics 24th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 5th Very low
Housing type & transportation 28th Low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 63rd Relatively High
Risk to homes 59th Relatively Moderate
Buildings in direct exposure zone 93.0%

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Pickett County with other counties → All Tennessee counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Pickett County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Pickett County, Tennessee are landslide, cold wave, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.

Has Pickett County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Pickett County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (10 declarations).

Has Pickett County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Pickett County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.

How does Pickett County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Wayne County, KY has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Clay County, TN has the lowest (Very Low). Pickett County is rated Very Low overall.

How is Pickett County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Pickett County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Pickett County's composite score of 5 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 5% of US counties.

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