Orleans Parish, LA

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 383,606 · Cities: New Orleans

Relatively High Riskier than 98% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Orleans Parish has experienced 39 federally declared disasters since 1998, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Orleans Parish's highest-rated hazards are hurricane, lightning, and cold wave, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 795% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (84th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Orleans Parish has been designated in 39 declarations since 1998, covering 8 disaster types including hurricane (26), coastal storm (4), severe ice storm (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2026 Winter Storm Severe Winter Storm
2024 Hurricane Tropical Storm Francine
2024 Hurricane Hurricane Francine
2023 Other Seawater Intrusion
2021 Hurricane Tropical Storm Zeta
2021 Coastal Storm Tropical Storm Nicholas
2021 Hurricane Tropical Storm Ida
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storms
2021 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Storm
2021 Hurricane Hurricane Zeta

Showing the 10 most recent of 39 total declarations since 1998.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 48.1 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 93.5 170 1 $6.2M
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate 81.2 3 0 $1.0M
Earthquake Relatively Low 80.4
Heat Wave Relatively High 97.2 25 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 71.6 7 0 $51.8M
Hurricane Very High 99.7 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 92.8 4 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 46.8 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 84.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate 64.6
Cold Wave Relatively High 97.7
Lightning Very High 98.7 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 56.9 0 0
Landslide Very Low 18.4 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Orleans Parish ranks in the 84th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 84th High
Socioeconomic status 91st High
Household characteristics 36th Low
Racial & ethnic minority status 96th High
Housing type & transportation 74th Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 49th Relatively Moderate
Risk to homes 67th Relatively High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 1.5%

NOAA tracked 209 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 21 in 2016–20 vs 188 in 2021–25 (+795% — frequency increasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Orleans Parish with other counties → All Louisiana counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Orleans Parish?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Orleans Parish, Louisiana are hurricane, lightning, and cold wave. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Orleans Parish received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Orleans Parish has received 39 federal disaster declarations since 1998, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is hurricane (26 declarations).

Has Orleans Parish had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Orleans Parish include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Tropical Storm Francine (2024), Hurricane Francine (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1998.

How does Orleans Parish's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Jefferson Parish, LA has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and St. Bernard Parish, LA has the lowest (Relatively Low). Orleans Parish is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Orleans Parish's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Orleans Parish's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Orleans Parish's composite score of 98 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 98% of US counties.

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