Mineral County, MT
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Mineral County has experienced 10 federally declared disasters since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Mineral County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, wildfire, and avalanche, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is relatively low (22nd percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Mineral County has been designated in 10 declarations since 1974, covering 6 disaster types including fire (4), biological (2), straight-line winds (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Straight-Line Winds | Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2013 | Fire | West Mullan Fire |
| 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003 | Fire | Mt-Missoula/Mineral Fire Zone-08/08/03 |
| 2000 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2000 | Fire | Mt-Southwestern Zone Two Fire Complex |
| 1996 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Ice Jams |
| 1974 | Flood | Severe Storms, Flooding & Landslides |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 85.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 16 | 2 | 0 | $4.0M |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 29.1 | 1 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 15.5 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 1.3 | 3 | 0 | $20K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 53.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 38.5 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 26.8 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 91.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Mineral County ranks in the 22nd percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22nd | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 33rd | Low |
| Household characteristics | 34th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 28th | Low |
| Housing type & transportation | 15th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 89th | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 92nd | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 77.7% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Mineral County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Mineral County, Montana are landslide, wildfire, and avalanche. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Mineral County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Mineral County has received 10 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is fire (4 declarations).
Has Mineral County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Mineral County include Severe Winter Storm And Straight-Line Winds (2026). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1974.
How does Mineral County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Missoula County, MT has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Benewah County, ID has the lowest (Very Low). Mineral County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Mineral County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Mineral County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Mineral County's composite score of 7 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 7% of US counties.