Maury County, TN
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Maury County has experienced 21 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Maury County's highest-rated hazards are tornado, strong wind, and earthquake, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 66% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (22nd percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Maury County has been designated in 21 declarations since 1973, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (12), winter storm (3), biological (2).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2023 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2021 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2014 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 21 total declarations since 1973.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 33.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Moderate | 74.6 | 45 | 1 | $480K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 89.8 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 60.9 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 94 | 7 | 1 | $11.1M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 38.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 9.2 | 26 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | 92.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 71.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | 81.6 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 87 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 57.3 | 3 | 0 | $16K |
| Drought | Very Low | 28.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 51.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Maury County ranks in the 22nd percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22nd | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 27th | Low |
| Household characteristics | 30th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 56th | Moderate |
| Housing type & transportation | 15th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 29th | Relatively Low |
| Risk to homes | 26th | Relatively Low |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 72.4% | — |
NOAA tracked 85 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 32 in 2016–20 vs 53 in 2021–25 (+66% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Maury County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Maury County, Tennessee are tornado, strong wind, and earthquake. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Maury County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Maury County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (12 declarations).
Has Maury County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Maury County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.
How does Maury County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Williamson County, TN has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Moderate) and Lewis County, TN has the lowest (Very Low). Maury County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Maury County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Maury County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Maury County's composite score of 79 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 79% of US counties.